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"The sudden appearance of the short sellers has made the situation complicated again, but from now on, the short sellers seem to be insufficiently powerful"
¡°Wash the market sounds simple, but in the actual process, the psychological and technical aspects of retail investors are greatly tested. If you are not careful, you may suffer heavy losses, so bulls should not dare to let the time of the market wash last too long, especially if you are not careful. At this time, short sellers intervened"
"They should raise oil prices in about three days, otherwise once retail investors start panic selling, it will be difficult to bring the price back"
If Yi Xiaohai agrees with Niu Meili and Zheng Bingyun, and the three of them agree, then the subsequent planning arrangements will be much smoother.
Niu Meili continued to analyze: "At the beginning of the public quotation, the highest price was 17 yuan, and at the end it was the lowest price of 14 yuan. If the oil price opens high and moves low in the next few days, it will be a big negative line, which is convenient. Long-term trading"
Yi Xiaohai¡¯s meaning is self-evident, that is, there should be a process of pulling up before the public quotation today.
"Sister Meili, I have done some calculations. I think that within half an hour before today's public bidding, the oil price should be controlled at around 15.5 yuan, and after the public bidding, it should be around 16 yuan
"It's too high" Niu Meili shook her head: "You have to know that there are still bulls suppressing me. I estimate that it can rise to 15 yuan, which should be about the same"
"Sister Meili, believe me, the price is 15 yuan and 5, I am confident"
When someone is trading, there is no way to calculate the rise or fall of prices with professional knowledge. It can only be determined based on the situation on site.
Niu Meili was not sure to what level oil prices would rise before the public quotation was made. Since Yi Xiaohai was so confident, she chose to believe it.
Because Yi Xiaohai¡¯s previous investments have proven his special abilities.
"Since you are so confident, we will arrange the arrangement according to your price range. However, the market in this situation is too risky. We don't know when they will take action. We don't know how long those retail investors can persist. The rise and fall are all driven by the thoughts of retail investors, so our winning rate is not great"
"Do you have any good suggestions, beautiful sister?"
"Using the stupidest method, the golden section"
Niu Meili thought this carefully: "If you have confidence in the price you predict, in conjunction with the golden section, after the market turns, whether it stops falling and turns up or stops rising and turns down, you will use the price you guessed. The high point and low point are the measurement base, and the original increase or decrease is divided into 5 golden points according to 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, and 0.809. The trend after reversal may encounter temporary resistance or resistance at these golden points. support¡¡"
"Because the golden section is to split a certain height, we can use the golden section in different cycles, such as weekly, daily, hourly, or even minute lines, and draw the golden section line in different time periods. When When the golden sections drawn at different levels in different periods overlap each other, these positions are golden convergence points, and then the support or pressure effect at this position will be stronger. Using this principle, we can find out several rough At this time point, there should be a chance to prepare in advance"
Except for Zi Muyu and Wei Baobao, everyone here is a financial veteran, and they soon understood why Niu Meili used the slightly conservative tactic of the golden section.
The timing of taking action for both long and short positions is uncertain. This strategy seems to be the best choice, but Yi Xiaohai has a very bold and crazy idea.
"Sister Meili, rather than letting others take the initiative, we should take the initiative ourselves"
"you mean?"
"Let's take the throne"
Because the office was full of people of his own, Yi Xiaohai expressed his thoughts bluntly.
"are you crazy¡¡"
Niu Meili was startled by Yi Xiaohai's crazy idea: "Do you know how much capital you need to be a banker? Let alone tens of billions, even hundreds of billions will not do"
The Brent oil market is too huge, and tens of billions and hundreds of billions are simply not enough.
The reason why the bookmaker behind this time was able to control the price of Brent oil was because the general environment was favorable to traders. He only had to follow the trend, guide the direction of retail investors' investment, and spread some favorable news, and he could barely do it.
That¡¯s it, they have definitely invested more than 50 billion.
"Sister Meili, according to our current thinking, what is the success rate of turning a foreign exchange management company from losses to profits before the 12th?"
"Less than 20%"
Both Yi Xiaohai and Niu Meili knew that their chances of winning this battle were not high.
¡°Now there are two parties in the market, the short side and the long side. This is what we can take advantage of The way for the long side to wash the market is to pull and wash the market at the same time. In the process of raising the oil price, the short side will definitely intervene We have to grab it. Take action in front of the shorts and let the bulls think that the shorts are entering, and they will definitely exert their strength. When the time comes, the shorts will definitely not be able to sit still and will exert their strength, and we can withdraw, so that we can control the time of price changes!"
Niu Meili shook her head directly: "Your plan is very good but there is one thing that doesn't work"
Niu Mian is very clear that the battle between bulls and bears is unavoidable. They only need to provoke the battle at a time that is beneficial to them to grasp the price trend.
She also admitted that this was a good choice, but they couldn't do it: "Brent oil is widely traded in the futures, forward and spot markets, and now more than 65% of the world's physical crude oil is anchored in the Brent system. Pricing, its market size is very large, even if it is just responsible for provoking a fight, the amount of funds required will not be small. Minister Xiong¡¯s 2 billion funds will not have any effect at all"
"What if I add my funds"
"You're crazy!"
Niu Meili was shocked by Yi Xiaohai: "Do you know how risky it is to do this? You have worked hard to build Han and Tang Dynasties to such a large scale, and now you want to take risks with him?"
Wei Baobao also thinks that what Yi Xiaohai did is irrational: "I don't recommend you to do this either. Just try your best to help the foreign exchange management company, but there is really no need to invest so much money"
"Xiaohai, I advise you to think carefully" Niu Meili's understanding of finance is much deeper than that of Wei Baobao. She knows that Yi Xiaohai is doing this completely to help others: "If you do this, I can be sure that the foreign exchange management company will definitely be able to go ashore. , but as for you, it is very likely that you will be trapped in"
"Sister Meili, I know you are doing it for my own good, but I still want to give it a try"
"Why?"
Niu Meili and Wei Baobao didn't understand.
Yi Xiaohai is not a stubborn person. They don't understand why Yi Xiaohai is so persistent.
Indeed, Yi Xiaohai is not a stubborn person, but sometimes he insists
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