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Chapter 504 April 14, Yutang Golden Horse separated by blue clouds

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    What Yuan Shikai and Sun Yuanqi said about "calling troops to cause chaos" is the famous "second revolution" in history.

    Current history textbooks often attribute the root cause of the Second Revolution to Yuan Shikai's violation of the "Covenant", autocratic dictatorship, and the murder of revolutionary comrades. The Kuomintang and Sun Yat-sen became victims of forced resistance.  The most direct triggers of the Second Revolution were the assassination of Song Jiaoren and the aftermath of the massive loan case, which seems to confirm this.  Is this really what history is like?  In fact, as early as January of the first year of the Republic of China, when Yuan Shikai and Li Yuanhong were engaged in peace talks, someone in the "Minduo Daily" had already proposed the possibility of a "second revolution" by drawing on the historical experience of the French Revolution.

    At that time, the North and the South had just fought a bloody battle in Hankou. On the surface, both sides were full of fighting spirit. The Beiyang Army under Yuan Shikai carried the power of victory and had the courage to "destroy it and eat it"; the Revolutionary Party feared nothing but heaven and earth.  In addition to their courage, friendly troops from southern provinces gradually came to help, also claiming to "fight across the Yangtze River and liberate all of China."  Although they clamored fiercely both times, today you issued an ultimatum, and tomorrow I issued a pre-war mobilization order, as if the war was about to break out, in fact neither side had the intention to fight again.

    For Yuan Shikai, he had just recovered. In the past two or three years, the six towns of Beiyang had been planted by the Manchu royal family. In addition, they were subject to the Qing government in terms of logistics and diplomacy. In order to avoid the snipe and the clam from competing with each other,  Even if he had the ability to destroy the revolutionary party, he would not dare to act rashly.  Therefore, he adopted the strategy of cultivating the invaders to respect themselves and stopped by the Yangtze River. While cleaning up and rectifying the old Beiyang troops, he also contacted various forces in the government and the opposition and ministers from various countries to actively seize power in the north.  As for the revolutionary parties in the south, it is natural to focus on appeasing them.

    For the Revolutionary Party, even though they always talk about the "Northern Expedition", in fact, the Battle of Hankou had already beaten them to death. Even Li Yuanhong, a veteran on the battlefield, fled after hearing the news, let alone others?  Defeated soldiers still need to be accommodated, wounded soldiers need to be treated, new soldiers need to be trained, and reinforcements need to be trained. It is impossible to fight again in the short term.  Their attitude is fierce, but they may not really oppose the peace proposal.  This may just confirm the saying "a dog that bites does not bark, a dog that barks does not bite".

    Moreover, at that time, many revolutionaries sincerely believed in the democratic system and had great confidence in the support of the people across the country for their revolutionary ideas. Therefore, when armed confrontation did not prevail, they resorted to peace talks and democratic elections.  Seizing power may be a shortcut to the South.  Song Jiaoren is an important representative of this type of people.

    As Sun Yuanqi said to Sun Yat-sen before: "What you can't get on the battlefield, you can't even get at the negotiation table." Under the premise that Yuan Shikai has superior military strength, any attempt to seize power will be in vain.  In the more than a year between the conclusion of the North-South peace talks and the outbreak of the second revolution, the Revolutionary Party tried various means to take control of the central government, but ultimately failed.  After repeated defeats, the revolutionary party gradually rekindled the idea of ??seizing power with arms.

    In the south, the revolutionaries who fought hard to overthrow the Manchu government are still living in embarrassment; many revolutionary soldiers who participated in the Battle of Xinhai were ordered by the government to disband and return to their fields.  These people have long been resentful. After being deliberately instigated by some people with ulterior motives, the tide of revolution is getting stronger and stronger. It only takes a spark to turn into a prairie fire.

    It can be seen that the cause of the second revolution, to put it mildly, is that the previous revolution was not thorough enough.  To put it bluntly, the revolutionaries have not reaped enough benefits.

    Yuan Shikai¡¯s attitude towards the second revolution is also quite interesting. On the one hand, he wanted to appease the revolutionaries and keep the country peaceful and stable; on the other hand, he also thought that the long-term pain would be worse than the short-term pain. It was better to use force to pacify the south in one fell swoop to avoid endless troubles.  As the revolutionaries pressed harder and the talk of "second revolution" became rampant, he gradually began to use force to solve the problem.

    "Solving it by force seems to be a very good idea, especially for Yuan Shikai, who has the most powerful military force in China.  However, only Yuan Shikai himself can understand the taste.

    First of all, his military advantage is not as obvious as imagined.  Although the Beiyang elite troops under his command have extraordinary cohesion and mobility and are China's most combat-effective army, the total number is only about 80,000.  In addition to defending the capital, his 80,000 men also had to be stationed in Zhili, Shandong, Henan, Hubei and other places. There were not many troops who could go south.  Although the southern army is geographically dispersed, politically difficult to keep pace with, and poorly trained, it is simply a chicken and a dog, vulnerable to attack, but it is several times more numerous than the Beiyang army.  Yuan Shikai still understood the principle of "elephant".  If there are too many troops going south, we cannot rule out the possibility that Sun Yuanqi will send troops directly to his hinterland when the fierce battle is in full swing.

    Some people may say that since the army is short, then expand the army!  It¡¯s not like Yuan Shikai didn¡¯t think about it.According to the "Central Society Society Law", the president can directly nominate him as a member of the society. It happens that the Central Society is also in the election, so let him participate in the election and be re-elected.  "

    Yuan Shikai said quickly: "If Song Dunchu is elected by the Central Academy, the procedures will be a bit cumbersome. Let me handle this matter!"

    Only then did Sun Yuanqi's face light up.

    The two chatted for a while. Sun Yuanqi was about to stand up and say goodbye when Yuan Shikai suddenly said: "Bai Xi, there are only you and me now. I want to say a few words from the bottom of my heart to you. From my mouth to your ears, no matter you  Do you want to hear it or not? If you leave this room, just pretend that I didn¡¯t say anything.¡± After a pause, he continued: ¡°Actually, my attitude towards Baixi¡¯s formation of the cabinet is 50% in favor and 50% against. Can you give me a rough idea?  Can you guess why?" (Remember the website address: www.hlnovel.com
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