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Chapter 819 Analysis of the Current Situation

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    Li Qimo said: "Yes, opening a bank is not a problem, but if you lend funds to Chinese industrial and commercial owners, you may not even be able to keep your capital!"

    Joseph Mathew also said: "That's right, this business can't be done."

    "There is never a business that cannot be done in this world." Zhong Yi chuckled and said, "And there are only people who dare not do it! It depends on whether you can see opportunities in danger and dare to make this money.  The vision of the three of you!"

    After a pause, Zhong Yi continued: "What are the three basic judgments on the Sino-Japanese War?"

    Commodus looked at each other, Richmore, and Joseph Mathew, and said, "Mr. Mayor, do you want to hear the truth or a lie?"

    "Of course I want to hear the truth." Zhong Yi said.

    Kang Maode said: "The truth is, in the war between China and Japan, China will definitely lose!"

    Li Qimo and Joseph MacDonald also nodded in unison, they both had the same view.

    After a pause, Commodus continued: "Modern war is all about industrial manufacturing capabilities. The industrial output value of China and Japan is very different. It is conservatively estimated that Japan's total industrial output value this year will exceed 20 billion yen. According to the official exchange rate  , equivalent to five billion U.S. dollars, and China¡¯s industrial output value this year may not even reach one billion U.S. dollars.¡±

    Li Qimo said: "And because the battlefield is in China, as time goes by, the gap between the two sides in national strength, especially in total industrial output, will become wider and wider."

    "This means that China's resistance will become weaker and weaker until it is eventually wiped out by Japan. I estimate that it will only take five years, no more than ten years at most! Ten years at most!"

    This time, Li Qimore and Joseph Mather took the opportunity to belittle China.

    Because they feel an inexplicable pleasure from the process of belittling China.

    However, Li Qimo and Mathew soon became disappointed, because Zhong Yi was not angry because of their belittling, and did not even show the least expression of annoyance.

    Zhong Yi smiled and said: "If you think so, you are totally wrong!"

    After a pause, Zhong Yi continued: "Modern war is based on industrial manufacturing. This is basically true, but it is not entirely true, because war, in the final analysis, is still a fight and competition between people! Industry!  The advantage of the manufacturing base may be more important in the early stages of the war, but in the later stages of the war, talent is the decisive factor!"

    "In fact, signs of this have already appeared in the Sino-Japanese War. After the war entered this year, it has been difficult for the Japanese army to show the same devastating performance on the battlefield as during the Battle of Songhu and the Battle of Nanjing. The Battle of Wuhan continued  For more than half a year, the Japanese casualties far exceeded any previous battle!"

    Kang Maode, Li Qimo and Joseph Mathew were silent after hearing this, because what Zhong Yi said was true.

    After a pause, Zhong Yi continued: "The reality is that Japan is no longer able to organize large-scale battles such as the Battle of Songhu, the Battle of Xuzhou and the Battle of Wuhan on the frontal battlefield. The Sino-Japanese war has actually entered a stage of strategic stalemate.  , and in the stalemate stage, the human factor is more important than the industrial foundation!¡±

    Commodus and the other three nodded again, this was obvious.

    Because only in large-scale, high-intensity large-scale battles can the power of the industrial manufacturing base be truly demonstrated. Its specific manifestations are the black and white aircraft in the sky, the densely packed tanks on the ground, and the towering large-caliber heavy artillery.  These are the most direct manifestations of industrial manufacturing strength.

    But in the stalemate stage, there will basically be no large-scale battles between the two sides. It cannot be said that the large aircraft group, tank group and heavy artillery group will completely lose their effect from now on, but at least, their effect will be greatly reduced!  In turn, the human factor will become even more important, and in this regard, China has an overwhelming advantage!

    Zhong Yi said: "So, my opinion is that China will win this war. Of course, the process will definitely be very difficult and will take a long time. If there is no outside intervention, it may take fifteen or even twenty years."  Year!"

    After a pause, Zhong Yi added: "But what I want to emphasize is that the world today is becoming more and more closely connected, so no matter the United States, France or the United Kingdom, they will eventually be unable to escape and will be involved in this war.  ! Germany, Japan and Italy have officially concluded the Axis Alliance, are you not at all vigilant about this?"

    Li Qimo frowned and said: "That's just an anti-Comintern agreement."

    Zhong Yi let out a haha ??and said: "Only you British people would naively think that Germany, Japan and Italy only signed an anti-Comintern agreement. But any normal person with a little bit of judgment wouldYou will understand that the Comintern is just a cover, and the so-called Anti-Comintern Agreement is a military alliance intended to dominate the world!  "

    After a pause, Zhong Yi continued: "Look, within two years, the Germans will set off a war frenzy in Europe, and France and the United Kingdom will be involved." At this point, he turned his attention to Commodus  , and said, "And the United States is also impossible to stay out of the matter. You will also be involved in the war with Japan!"

    "You" Li Qimo said, "You are just alarmist!"

    "Is this really alarmist?" Zhong Yi said, "No, you, the UK and France have already made a big mistake. The Munich Agreement just signed in September this year ceded the Sudetenland that originally belonged to Czechoslovakia to Germany.  This move has greatly boosted Germany's ambition and confidence. Next, Germany will start to annex the entire Czechoslovakia, then Poland, then France, and finally the United Kingdom"

    Li Qimo and Joseph Mathew were frightened by the scene described by Zhong Yi.

    "No, this is absolutely impossible!" Mathews said, "We have the Maginot Line, and the Germans can't get in!"

    "The Maginot Line?" Zhong Yi said suddenly, "It was this Maginot Line that killed France!"

    After saying this for a while, Zhong Yi continued: "This is not the point. Although Germany, Japan and Italy have concluded the Axis Alliance, it is ultimately a small effort to shake a big tree, and there is no possibility of success. What I want to say is that in the end, Britain, France  Both China and the United States will be involved in the war. Now, do you still think that China will eventually lose this war?"

    "This" Li Qimo and the other three were immediately speechless.

    An obvious fact is that if, as Zhong Yi said, Britain, France and the United States are eventually involved in the war, then an anti-Axis alliance will definitely appear in the world, and China will definitely join this alliance. In this case  , China is unlikely to lose this war.

    The question is, will this really happen?

    PS: I recommend the new book "Secret War Without Trace" by the copyright master Changfeng. It is a wonderful spy war story. If you like spy wars, don't miss it.  (Remember the website address: www.hlnovel.com
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