"With these preferential policies, agricultural cooperatives should be quickly accepted by farmers in the Federation of Greater China, right?" Chang Ruiqing asked everyone in the conference room with a smile, and everyone nodded. Considering the current financial resources of the federal government, these discounts given by Chang Ruiqing are already very adequate.
Chang Ruiqing turned his attention to Mao Zd and Zhou Elai again. He smiled and said: "President, Elai, the cabinet will fully promote the matter of cooperatives, but even if cooperatization is implemented, the trend of land concentration and urbanization will It¡¯s still inevitable. In fact, agricultural cooperatives themselves must be based on land concentration, don¡¯t you think?¡±
"The Prime Minister is right," Mao Zd smiled faintly. He understood what Chang Ruiqing meant. "I think the second land reform plan proposed by the Prime Minister is also feasible in principle. Come on, what do you think?"
"Yes, judging from the development trend of American agriculture, traditional small-scale farmer production is indeed uncompetitive. Once capitalist large-scale farms appear in Central Asia and Siberia, the small-scale farmer economy in the eastern region will soon fall apart. This is a social The inevitable result of the development of productive forces is not something we should resist." Zhou Elai frowned: "The agricultural cooperatives we are promoting now are actually a model of agricultural industrialization, but will they be able to compete with American-style capitalism in the future? It¡¯s hard to say how competitive farms are, let alone the hundreds of millions of small farmers in the east.¡±
Speaking of this, Zhou Elai couldn't help but sigh, seeming to feel sorry for the inevitable collapse of small-scale peasant production. Chen Duxiu also sighed: "In the process of its development and expansion, advanced productive forces will inevitably destroy backward productive forces. This There is no way around it. In the past nearly 20 years, with the industrialization process in our country, the original handicraft production has also shrunk on a large scale. It has been replaced by more advanced large industries. This situation will inevitably also affect agriculture. It appears during production. And all we can do is to try our best to prevent this process from impacting social stability."
"No, there won't be any impact." Chang Ruiqing smiled and waved his hand: "While large-scale agricultural production has achieved small-scale peasant economy, we should also fully promote urbanization. In fact, the real highlight of my second land reform is not Promote land concentration and instead attract farmers to cities.¡±
Speaking of which. Chang Ruiqing looked a little proud. He was a "historical person" and knew the various problems faced by China's urbanization in another time and space. Until the second decade of the 21st century, an urbanization path suitable for China¡¯s national conditions still had not been found. In this time and space, it is only 1936, and he, the Chinese Prime Minister, has already found a way to urbanize.
"The way to urbanize is to focus on the development of megacities. Help rather than prevent farmers from entering megacities to live and work. We also need to allow people, including farmers and workers, to settle down and buy property in megacities. The fact that farmers move to cities to settle down and buy property is itself It will greatly stimulate the development of my country¡¯s real estate industry.¡±
Everyone was stunned when they heard the word "real estate industry". At the enlarged meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, everyone here except Chang Ruiqing does not know how to do business. Of course, they do not know whether the real estate business can No matter how big it is, I can¡¯t even imagine the land finance in future generations
I saw that everyone didn¡¯t quite understand. Chang Ruiqing then began to describe the spring of China's real estate. "Comrades, since everyone believes that it is inevitable for large agriculture to replace small agriculture, you should also know that large agriculture requires far less labor than small agriculture. If the eastern region eventually develops into agricultural cooperatives, the northwest region will To develop into American-style large farms, how many farmers will be needed across the country? I¡¯m afraid 150 million is enough? And how many farmers do we have now? Nearly 500 million! This means that in the next 20 years, even Within 15 years, at least 350 million people will enter the city. Well, this number will definitely be more, because our population is still increasing at a rapid rate. It may reach 1.3 billion in 20 years!"
Speaking of the number 1.3 billion, Chang Ruiqing frowned slightly, but the other senior executives of Chongqing present smiled happily. It seemed that no one thought that a population of 1.3 billion or even more would become a problem. After all, the current Federation of Greater China But the land is truly vast and rich in resources.
But Chang Ruiqing, who has the experience of later generations, knows that although population growth is an important driving force for economic development, excessive population will also increase the pressure on resources and land. Although the land and resources of the Federation of Greater China in this time and space seem to be the largest in the world, if the population of 680 million is averaged, it is far inferior to the people of Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United Kingdom. And because China's urbanization rate is now low, the birth rate is much higher than that of the United States, Britain, Germany and other countries. If the urbanization rate cannot be increased as soon as possible, it is possible that China's population peak will exceed 2 billion in the future!
Chang Ruiqing hummed and continued: "If the total population of our country reaches 1.3 billion in 20 years, and the rural population remains at 150 million, our urban population will reach 1.15 billion. And 60% of them will reach 1.15 billion." 70%?People will live in an urban agglomeration with eight metropolitan areas as the core. "
"What? 70% of 1.15 billion is 805 million people! So many people live in 8 metropolises? In other words, each metropolis will have 100 million residents!?" Zhou Elai counted on his fingers, The first one raised an objection. "Prime Minister, looking at countries in the East and West, when has there been a city with more than 10 million residents? Isn't it an international joke to want a city to have 100 million residents?"
Chang Ruiqing smiled and said: "I don't agree with Xiangyu's words. The number of people in our eight metropolises does not depend on the size of the cities in the Western and Eastern countries, but on the area of ??the eight metropolises. At present, the number of people in the eight metropolises is The total land area utilized is about 35,000 square kilometers, and this number does not include water areas and mountains, which means that they can all be built into urban areas."
"That can't accommodate 800 million people!" Mao Zd also echoed: "Even if all 35,000 square kilometers are built into urban areas, how many people can be accommodated in each square kilometer? It can't be more than 10,000, right? It can accommodate 400 million people. It¡¯s as high as the sky.¡±
Chang Ruiqing nodded and continued: "President, what I mean is that in the future there will be 700 million to 800 million people living in urban agglomerations centered on the eight major cities. By then, between Shanghai and Nanjing, Between Guangzhou and Hong Kong, between Beijing and Tianjin, as well as around the three towns of Wuhan, and most of the Liaodong Peninsula, there will be cities with concentrated populations. The total area of ??these urban agglomerations will definitely be several times or even ten times that of the eight metropolitan areas. , it is more than enough to accommodate a population of 700 million to 800 million. Of course, population agglomeration is a process and cannot be completed overnight. Even if we use the second land reform to promote it, I am afraid it will take 10 to 20 years to complete. This process. During this period, a large number of industries related to urban infrastructure and real estate will also flourish, creating hundreds of millions of job opportunities. In the future, the original agricultural population entering the eight major cities will On the one hand, they will find mobile housing in cities with the help of the government¡¯s secondary land reform policy, and on the other hand, they will find jobs in related industries of housing and urban construction. This will be a virtuous cycle.¡±
"House prices in the eight major cities don't seem cheap now, right? Is it possible for farmers to afford it?" Chen Duxiu shook his head and expressed doubts. He was very clear about the financial resources of ordinary farmers. After working hard for a year, it is not easy to maintain food and clothing. Even if you enter the city, you will be empty-handed. How can you afford the high housing prices in the eight major cities?
"Mr. Zhongfu, the housing prices in the eight major cities are very cheap!" Chang Ruiqing shook his head helplessly. It was indeed tiring to discuss real estate with these gcd people who had no business experience in their minds. The house that Chen Duxiu said was not cheap must be him. The garden houses we live in are not the units farmers and workers need at all.
Then he sighed and began to describe in detail to everyone present the bright prospects for the development of China's real estate industry in the future - the prospects are of course bright. In the future, more than 1 billion people will enter urban life. If one person is a family of four, In terms of housing units, 250 million units are needed. Of course, the actual demand must exceed 250 million units, and may reach 300 million or even 400 million units. The Federation of Greater China will not impose any real estate purchase restrictions. More than 3,000 With a land of 10,000 square kilometers, it still can¡¯t satisfy the people¡¯s love for real estate? Moreover, local governments also need property taxes paid by property holders to carry out construction!
So Chang Ruiqing¡¯s real estate policy actually liberalizes buying and building, and there is no red line for cultivated land. Not to mention that there is so much land for farming in Central Asia and Siberia, but if the population is concentrated in big cities, won¡¯t the original rural housing be demolished for farming? Does it mean that when people move into big cities, they will occupy larger housing areas than in rural areas?
The massive residential demand in the future, coupled with the construction of urban commercial, industrial and office properties, the construction of urban infrastructure, the large-scale transportation construction in urban areas, the construction demand and real estate demand brought about by urbanization, how can it be added together? No less than 10 trillion! The economic growth brought about by the rapid development of the steel, building materials, and construction industries driven by these demands is also astronomical.
Therefore, the modernization of the Federation of Greater China is actually urbanization. As long as a series of urban agglomerations centered on the eight metropolises are built, the Federation of Greater China will be a truly developed country.
Everyone was stunned when they heard what Chang Ruiqing said, but they all felt that what Chang Ruiqing said was reasonable, but they couldn't believe it. Zhou Elai is considered a person who is familiar with local construction. Listening to Chang Ruiqing's words at this moment, he feels as if he is in the clouds and mist. An extremely beautiful prospect is right in front of him, but it is difficult to reach. (To be continued)