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Volume 1 The Glory of Germany Chapter 248 The storm is coming

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    In 1990, Herzendorf relied on reform policies and won the election with difficulty.

    In the same year, Gu Zhutong also won the right to reside in the presidential palace for a second five-year period due to the reform actions he initiated, and became the president with the highest re-election rate.

    Entering the 1990s, the tensions in the Cold War between China and Germany have eased.

    After being re-elected as president, Gu Zhutong paid a return visit to the Second German Empire, making him the first Chinese president to officially visit the Second German Empire after the war.

    At that time, many people believed that Sino-German relations would ease.

    However, almost no one believes that the Cold War, which has made the world tremble under the shadow of destruction for forty years, is about to end. No one believes that the Cold War will end with the disintegration of a certain superpower.  What came was not lasting peace.

    ¡°Two years after Herzendorf was re-elected Reich Chancellor, in 1992, the Cold War reached a major turning point.

    On February 4 of that year, the Ukrainian authorities officially announced that because the Second German Empire failed to repay its debts on time, Ukraine would withdraw from the Western Alliance Group with the Second German Empire as its core, and terminate its alliance with the Second German Empire.  The International Arbitration Court sued the Second German Reich and required the Second German Reich to unconditionally repay its debts in accordance with the provisions of the contract.

    This incident happened very suddenly. When Herzendorf received the news, Ukraine had already entered a state of war readiness.

    To put it bluntly, it is to prevent the German invasion.

    Immediately afterwards, the President of Ukraine flew to Beijing.  Had a direct meeting with Gu Zhutong.

    ¡°Obviously, Ukraine is the first domino to fall in the Western Alliance group with the Second German Reich at its core, but it is not the last one.

    You must know that the direct cause of Ukraine's withdrawal was the huge debt owed by the Second German Empire.

    According to information released by Ukraine at the time, by the end of 1991, the debt owed by the Second German Empire to Ukraine reached 24 billion imperial marks, equivalent to 20% of Ukraine's gross national product in 1991.  three.  Accounting for 70% of Ukraine¡¯s total debt.

    To put it bluntly, the debts owed by the Second German Reich have become unbearable for Ukraine.

    ?In the words of the President of Ukraine when he met with Gu Zhu.  If the Second German Reich refused to repay its debts, Ukraine's economy would collapse.

    ?Obviously, this is by no means alarmist.

    ??In fact.  The Ukrainian president's emergency visit to China, apart from the political purpose of warning the Second German Reich not to try to invade Ukraine, the main purpose is not to form an alliance with China, but to hope that China can help Ukraine overcome its economic difficulties.

    This is to apply for a loan from China.

    At that time, the President of Ukraine proposed to Gu Zhutong that if he did not receive an emergency loan of 10 billion yuan, Ukraine's finances would go bankrupt by the end of June.

    ??Obviously, this means the collapse of the Ukrainian government.  Civil unrest will also break out in Ukraine.

    "What's interesting is that not many people realized at the time that what happened in Ukraine was a signal that the Cold War was coming to an end, and it was also a huge opportunity.

    On the contrary, many people do not pay attention to this matter.

    In the news comments at the time.  Many people regard what happened in Ukraine as the same thing as what happened in Turkey more than 20 years ago.  That is, because Turkey did not receive support from China in economic construction, it terminated its alliance with China and instead chose to ally with the Second German Empire. This directly led to a major turning point in the confrontation between China and Germany.

    In other words, many people think so.  Ukraine's actions will not have much impact on the Cold War relations between China and Germany.

    Even if the Second German Reich did not send troops to Ukraine, and Ukraine became an ally of China after receiving economic assistance from China, the basic situation of the Sino-German Cold War would still remain, and the Second German Reich would definitely strengthen its control over other allies.  .

    Fortunately, Gu Zhutong clearly understood the significance of this matter.

    At that time, Gu Zhutong promised to provide Ukraine with an interest-free loan of 5 billion yuan before the end of June to help Ukraine tide over the difficulties.

    More importantly, Gu Zhutong clearly mentioned that Ukraine must carry out political reforms if it wants to obtain more loans.

    To put it bluntly, the loan does not include interest, but the loan itself is not tasteless. If Ukraine wants to obtain more loans, it must become an ally of China.

    Of course, it must at least become a friendly country to China.

    Obviously, becoming a friendly country to ChinaThe basis is to establish a political system recognized by China to ensure that the friendly relations with China will not be shaken.

    For Ukraine, there is no other choice.

    Now that it has drawn a clear line with the Second German Reich, Ukraine must strive to gain support from China, otherwise it will be unable to respond to a possible military invasion.

    Ukraine became the first domino to fall, followed by Russia and Belarus.

    After the war, in addition to the three Baltic countries and the Moldova region that was in dispute with Romania, three countries emerged in Russia's European region, namely Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus, which was established on the occupied Polish territory. Ukraine and Belarus were the German states.  As an ally of the Second Reich, Russia gained more political autonomy after the war as a strategic buffer zone between China and Germany.

    Of course, Russia after the war is far inferior to Russia before.

    However, Russia¡¯s influence in the former Red Russia is still very huge, and it has the foundation to become a regional power.

    In May 1992, when the Second German Reich was devastated by Ukraine, the leaders of Russia and Belarus met in Minsk and formally proposed a merger plan.

    According to public information, Belarus will be merged into Russia and become an autonomous republic of Russia.

    Because Russia is not an ally of the Second German Empire, but a neutral country, Belarus will automatically terminate its alliance with the Second German Empire after being annexed to Russia.

    Now, trouble comes.

    Although Russia is a neutral country, Belarus is the only strategic barrier to the east of the Second German Empire, that is, the Second German Empire directly borders Belarus.

    The annexation of Belarus to Russia meant that the Second German Empire lost this strategic barrier.

    According to later declassified information, the German General Staff formulated a military action plan at that time to prevent the merger of Belarus and Russia through military occupation.

    However, Herzendorf blocked the military operation.

    The reason is simple. Sending troops to occupy Belarus will definitely make Russia an enemy. According to the secret agreement signed between China and the Second German Empire after the war, both China and Germany provided political guarantees for Russian independence.  This means that if Russia has a military conflict with the Second German Empire for Belarus, China can provide support for Russia's military operations based on the guarantee it originally made.  Obviously, this means that Russia will become an ally of China, and China will be able to use this to push the front to the imperial border.

    ¡°Obviously, regardless of the outcome of the military action, it means that China and Germany will turn from indirect confrontation to direct confrontation.

    For the Second German Reich, this was obviously an unacceptable consequence.

    On the contrary, if Belarus is annexed to Russia to ensure that Russia continues to remain neutral, the Second German Empire can also obtain a better security environment.

    It is precisely for this reason that Herzendorf remained silent on the issue of the merger of Belarus and Russia.

    The problem is that Herzendorf only saw the risk of military intervention, but did not think of the huge impact of tolerating the merger of Belarus and Russia.

    You must know that Herzendorf's silence is tantamount to admitting that the Second German Reich is no longer able to control all the allies.

    For other countries in the Western Alliance group, this is tantamount to receiving a signal that they can get rid of the control of the Second German Reich.

    Just over a month later, in mid-July, at the Western Alliance Summit in Brussels, the leaders of France and Italy made it clear that the Western Alliance should not be a group with the Second German Reich as its absolute core and absolute authority.  A group of countries, but a group whose main purpose is to safeguard the interests of all allies, that is, the interests of other countries must be respected and protected.

    For the Second German Reich, 1992 was definitely a troubled year.

    You must know that the weight of France and Italy is far greater than that of Ukraine and Belarus.

    Of course, the real threat comes from France, not Italy.

    Although France was a defeated country and was occupied by the German army after the war and was subject to many constraints, France has become a powerful country on the European continent second only to the Second German Empire in terms of economic size during more than 40 years of peaceful development.  The influence is even greater than that of Italy.

    In the relationship between France and Germany, France has a trump card, that is, France is the number one creditor of the Second German Empire.

    At that time, France held more than 800 billion Reichsmarks in imperial bonds, accounting for 70% of the bonds issued by the Second German Reich.

    In a sense, it was the funds provided by France that maintained the stability of the empire.

    ?Obviously, if there is no source of information from ?Without the country's funds, the economy of the Second German Empire had collapsed long ago.

    What¡¯s even more terrible is that France¡¯s status as a defeated country was recognized by the Allied Powers Group. That is, China, as the top power of the Allied Powers Group, has obligations to all defeated countries.  To put it simply, as long as France recognizes its status as a defeated nation and abides by all restrictions imposed by the Allied Powers, China will ensure that France is not subject to military threats and provide France with the most fundamental security guarantee.

    In normal times, this is just a verbal promise. After all, it was the German army that occupied France.

    But as long as France is willing, it can cut off the economic lifeline of the Second German Empire, and its economic behavior does not violate the constraints imposed on the defeated countries.  In other words, if the Second German Empire overthrew the French regime on the grounds that France forced the repayment of debts or terminated the provision of loans, it would have violated the basic principles of occupation and constituted a fact of invasion, and China would have reason to intervene.

    To put it simply, the Second German Empire could not attack France through military means.

    As for Italy, the Second German Empire is even less likely to act recklessly.

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