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Text 562 Russia in the Center

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    At this stage, the United States' containment of China is mainly reflected in the competition for influence, rather than the direct confrontation similar to that between the United States and the Soviet Union during the Cold War.  This kind of competition is without smoke, and is sometimes described as benign, but in fact it is also invisible blood and swords.

    The United States has lost to China in the Asia-Pacific region, but the United States is not willing to accept it and continues to make moves in this area. Moreover, in other areas where the United States has an absolute advantage, they never want to give up, or commit the same crimes as China's manipulation of East Asia, and eventually  America¡¯s mistake of keeping out.

    For example, in South America, the United States has focused on squeezing China out of the region, whether it is political influence or economic influence. The attack on Peru is obviously to ensure that there is a fulcrum in Latin America that can be leveraged by China, thus forming a mutual trust between the two sides of the Pacific.  Respond to the situation.

    In Europe, the United States is trying its best to prevent China's influence from fully deepening. China already has "friendly countries" such as the three Eastern European countries, and its socialist nature has not changed. The United States must ensure that these three countries in Europe  They are still in an isolated state to prevent them from becoming China's tentacles and accomplices in influencing Europe.  The main cluster of allies of the United States is concentrated in Europe. NATO is also an important force basis for the United States to lead the world. Expanding NATO's power and continuously enhancing NATO's actual combat capabilities are important means for the United States to deal with China.

    In another dimension, NATO's eastward expansion was slowly launched after several years of delay. On the one hand, the United States did not want to provoke Russia too much, but took it slowly step by step, and finally forced it to Russia's doorstep, which led to  Russian backlash.  But in this plane, Russia has been dismembered by China. Although the European part of Russia is still a big country with a population of nearly 100 million and an area of ??several hundred square kilometers, due to civil war, Chinese robbery and other factors, Russia is now extremely weak, and even if it becomes developed again,  It is absolutely impossible to pose a huge threat to the United States like the Soviet Union in the past.  The main imaginary enemy of the United States in the new era is the Chinese, its former ally.

    Without Russia as a concern, and even Russia itself becoming a target of wooing, the United States has become more active and aggressive on the issue of NATO's eastward expansion.  The first batch of countries that the United States hopes to join NATO are Poland, Hungary, and the three Baltic countries.

    As for Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia, and Romania, the United States basically has no intention of repaying too much. These three countries are still considered red countries, and their ideologies are different from those within NATO. The so-called circles are different and do not need to be forcibly integrated. Even if these three countries want to  Come in, the United States and other Western European NATO countries may not agree.  Although Bulgaria, which is caught in the middle, has completed its own democratization, its presence is relatively thin, and it also has to consider the feelings of Romania and Yugoslavia around it, so it is unlikely to join NATO casually.

    Some strategic analysts refer to the three pro-China Eastern European countries as "Baryu's hole," which means an irreparable and fatal problem in the U.S. NATO strategy.  Balyu has always been a strategic location at the heart of Europe. Europeans have always liked to say that if Balyu is at peace, Europe will be at peace, and if Balyu is in chaos, Europe will be in chaos. This is indeed the case.

    From a pessimistic and extreme perspective, once a conflict breaks out between China and the United States, and the three Eastern European countries side with China, then NATO countries will be in big trouble. Troops sent from the Balkans can drive straight into the European plains, and warships sailing from Yugoslavia will also attack China.  Sea power in the Mediterranean was challenged.  Bald is unjust and most of Western Europe is under military attack. This is definitely not what NATO countries want to see.

    Therefore, NATO internally hopes to use brainwashing concepts such as democracy and freedom to peacefully evolve these countries and completely overthrow the rule of the CP so that they can achieve democratization, which is also harmless, so that NATO has no internal worries and can better  to respond to challenges from China.

    In the easternmost part of Eastern Europe, Russia, which has just settled down, is also undergoing tremendous changes.  With the support and affirmation of China, Putin was successfully elected as the president of Russia and began the post-war reconstruction and restoration of Russia.  Although Russia after the civil war is not a scorched earth, but coupled with China's almost shameless plunder, Russia's broken ship cannot even lift a few nails.

    Relying on China's massive material support to Russia, Russia has slowly passed through the most difficult period. Putin is very determined to reorganize the country. He has used all available resources and support to help a large number of Russian companies resume production.  , and began to follow the principles of market economy in an orderly manner, provide goods to citizens, and restore order in the market.

    In another aspect, Russia's situation improved slightly after the 21st century, and even started to compete with the United States and Western countries again around 214.  But in fact, Russia's ability to stand up again depends entirely on her resource-rich land.  Russia's resources are actually mainly stored in Siberia and the Far East. Now that these two regions have become independent from Russia, it will be difficult for Russia to become rich based on its rich mineral resources.

    But this is not a particularly bad thing for Russia.  international economicsThere is a term called "resource trap" in the Internet, which is not particularly familiar in this era. Its main meaning is that a resource-rich country can often obtain large profits by selling its own resources, thus neglecting to advance through technological progress.  and other healthier ways to grow the economy such as industrial innovation. In the end, the country became richer and richer through mining, but its economic strength did not fundamentally improve until one day the resources were exhausted and it was unlucky.

    Without Siberia and the Far East, Russia has lost the ability to sit in the mines and count money. After Putin came to power, there was tremendous pressure. Economic problems are not so easy to solve. Russia has a population of nearly 100 million. Let them  It is really difficult for everyone to be able to work and support their families.

    Although China has provided Putin with a series of support and plans, Putin does not fully trust the Chinese. After all, they have contributed a lot to Russia becoming what it is today.  Moreover, Putin also knows that once Russia completely follows the route designed by China, then Russia is likely to become similar to the Central Asian countries and North Asian countries, becoming a link in China's huge economic chain and economically inseparable.  , thus eventually becoming an integral part of China, even if it is still a different country in name.

    Putin, who has nationalist sentiments, is never willing to see the once powerful Russian nation become a vassal of the Chinese nation, so he can only bear the pressure and lead Russia to move forward, looking for any way to survive and strengthen itself.

    In fact, the measures adopted by Putin are highly similar to the rapid rise of China in another dimension. The Russian economic department has promulgated a series of very preferential investment promotion measures to attract foreign investment, especially foreign investment from Western European countries, to enter Russia to set up factories and develop.

    After experiencing a war and being plundered, Russia's economy is on the verge of collapse. People are in urgent need of finding jobs, so the salary level of Russians is much lower than before the war. Although it is not as low as China's, it is due to the depreciation of the ruble.  , which has great appeal to many European countries.  Moreover, Russia and Europe also have the advantage of geographical proximity, and Europeans also feel that Russia's industrial level is quite good.

    On the other hand, with the help of the Chinese, Putin restored the production capacity of a number of state-owned enterprises. The Chinese looted Russian industrial equipment. Most of them were of some value, but those that were older and in poor shape were  Unified, a group of them were left to Russia.  Although these things are not very valuable anymore, the Russians still relied on them to reopen factories, especially some automobile factories and even aviation factories. Russian companies lost the ability to independently manufacture a complete set of products, so they provided subsidiaries for large Western companies.  It covers production and parts processing and is only a part of the production line. It also has low risks and quick results.

    On the other hand, Putin took the risk and liberalized most of Russia's government regulatory policies, intending to guide Russia's economic construction with liberalism and regulate Russia's economic development with pure market.  In fact, a pure free market economy is not the best, but Putin is not able to achieve that careful calculation, and he is even less willing to directly use the plans provided by the Chinese.  Therefore, the market regulates itself and selectively cooperates with the West and China, so that Russia can quickly restore its economic level.

    Through the regulation of the free market, Russia can quickly form a number of advantageous industries and stabilize its economic situation. Although Russia cannot restore its complete industrial system again, it can make Russia strong again.  and a quick way to regain your strength.

    This economic balancing policy also extends to Russian politics.  The Chinese army has gradually withdrawn from Russia, retreating to Siberia or Kazakhstan. According to the timetable, by the end of the year, the last unit of the Chinese army will complete the withdrawal from Russia, and the knife hanging over Putin's head will eventually disappear.  .

    China still has a certain influence in Russia, but it will never be as domineering as when it helped Putin come to power.  Putin, who has a strategic vision, can also see that the competition between China and the West will inevitably become more and more obvious as time goes by. Russia cannot choose sides, but it can please both sides, so as to regain its great power with the help of the two sides.  status.

    Such a strategy is somewhat similar to China¡¯s original swing-balancing strategy between the United States and the Soviet Union. It is quite appropriate for Putin to use it again.  Putin cannot predict whether a war will break out between China and the United States, but Putin knows that Russia cannot participate in any party in the war, as that will bring disaster to the already weak Russia.  Therefore, Russia's strategy is to resolutely be a neutral.
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