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Text 337 A convenient conspiracy

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    The trip to China allowed the Yugoslavs to better see China's appearance and strength, especially its economic strength. Although it is generally believed that if China's influence in the security field was greater, it would be second only to the United States in the Asia-Pacific region and could even suppress  The Soviet Union exists on one side, but it is beyond reach. Yugoslavia is in Eastern Europe, and there are no serious security and defense risks at this time. On the contrary, if the economy is not saved, the Yugoslavia will probably be doomed.

    China¡¯s reform and opening up was much later than Yugoslavia¡¯s, but the degree of openness is still of great reference value to the Yugoslavs.  First of all, China's financial system has undergone significant innovation and adopted a more flexible market mechanism, but the state and the central bank still retain the last resort.  The situation of administrative management of finance has been completely curbed, and two major price integrations have been completed, namely the dual-track system for the price of production materials and the dual-track system for RMB and foreign exchange quotations.  In addition, some concerned officials have also seen that China has adopted very severe and strict legal and disciplinary measures to crack down on behaviors that disrupt the normal market order such as officialdom, thereby ensuring that a series of reforms can be carried out within a reasonable and controllable range.  Slowly advance and make progress.

    From the perspective of Novakovic and other Yugoslav officials who specialize in economics, China's reforms are simply a miracle. In such a short period of time, China has found a model that can achieve rapid economic development steadily and quickly, and there are almost no troubles.  , it can be met, as long as China is given another ten years, it is estimated that it will be a little bit difficult to catch up with the United States, but catching up with the Premier League should be no problem.

    Many Yugoslav officials recorded a large number of notes during their trip to China and humbly consulted many Chinese counterparts for advice. The Chinese did not hesitate to explain and explain to them their thoughts and experiences on China's reform and opening up, which greatly benefited the Yugoslavs.  .  Many people believe that even if the United States can offer more bargaining chips than China, Yugoslavia should not fully accept the economic reform conditions of the United States. Obviously, as both are socialist countries with similar national conditions, China's model is more suitable for Yugoslavia to learn from.

    "Yugoslavia has a much stronger foundation than China, with a smaller population and less pressure. If we find the correct line and guideline and struggle for another seven or eight years, we will definitely have a completely new look as a country." Novakovic and other Yugoslav officials said  Thinking this way, I felt complacent for a while.

    "But some are happy and some are sad. The Yugoslavs have recognized that the Chinese model can save their troubled economy, so the Americans' evil plan to cripple Yugoslavia cannot be implemented smoothly.  In fact, the United States' aid is far less comprehensive and pragmatic than China's. It claims to let the "invisible hand" control the economy to make it healthy, but on the other hand, it uses shock therapy, such as freezing prices and wages, and currency devaluation.  The invisible hand's own weak control ability becomes the devil's hand pushing into the abyss.

    George Bush, who had just ascended to the throne of the United States, staged a "turn to the right" that is rare in the history of American politics. Reagan was involved in scandals and now had too much time to take care of himself. However, the vice president came to power with a relatively large advantage in last year's election.  Bit.

    Unlike his eldest son, who has an IQ of only 80, Bush Sr. himself has a gentle and elegant personality, and is not particularly aggressive. Although several wars broke out during his term, he has a very traditional image of a big American capitalist and upper class person.  Due to the political cunning nature of society, he formulated a strategy for Russia in the post-Cold War era and a policy for world hegemony, that is, to give Russia the dignity of an honorable end, and gradually accept Russia and improve relations with it, thereby making Russia an ally that identifies with the United States.  .

    It can be said that with idiots like Yeltsin and the dominance of the United States, if this strategy of Bush Sr. can be truly inherited, then in another dimension, the United States will probably not face China around 214 years ago.  Russia's hidden alliance challenge can devote more energy to maintaining its own structure and counter-terrorism.  It's a pity that Bush Sr.'s strategy was completely abandoned during the Clinton period, squeezing Russia's living space, constantly looking for superiority over Russia, NATO's eastward expansion, anti-missile network encirclement and interception, and Americans acting like a Chinese  After the second boy got super powers, he yelled and prepared to rule the world.  But the huge crisis faced after one ebb and flow made the middle school boy know that this world is reality after all.

    Qi Yiming also believes that although the tendency of later generations of Republicans to become brainless and populist is becoming more and more obvious, seasoned politicians with truly strategic vision are basically from the Republican Party.  For example, if capitalist countries tend towards imperialism and hegemonism, the only way to maintain conservatism for a relatively long time is to maintain conservatism consistently.

    In the White House, the retired Bush frowned at the report handed over by his chief of staff. After reading it, he raised his head and said to the new Secretary of State James Baker: "What do the Chinese want to do? Their own economy doesn't even count.  China is too advanced and wants to aid Yugoslavia. Is this poaching us? "

    Baker replied profoundly: "Mr. President, China's actions are really hard to understand. However, in recent years, China has been hard to understand andHave you done too little unexpected things?  "

    Bush pondered for a moment and said: "I wonder if China can be made to retreat from the situation in Eastern Europe. As an East Asian country, don't they think they have stretched their hands too far?"

    Baker replied: "Obviously, China also has experienced strategists. The decline of the Soviet Union is becoming more and more obvious, and the socialist camp in Eastern Europe seems to be crumbling. As a red country, China must have worries. We  After consulting some scholars and experts at the RAND think tank, they believe that it is possible that China has begun to plan for the decline of the Soviet Union or a future without the Soviet Union, that is, to consolidate the rule of a few socialist countries."

    "It seems that our ally is also restless," Bush Sr. sighed.

    Americans have never relaxed their wariness about China. The decline of the Soviet Union has become more and more obvious. Some radicals believe that China should be abandoned immediately and use the same methods as Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union to deal with China, so as to completely defeat China.  Go down and enjoy the sole dominance of the world.  Of course, some people think it is unnecessary because China is too weak and is not proportional to the threat from the Soviet Union.  Others think that China's current behavior is quite respectful. Although it is a red country, it still listens to greetings. There is no need to push a basically friendly country into the opposite direction.

    Bush himself is also a supporter of the latter view. Although he does not know the ancient Chinese saying that "no matter how big a country is, it will perish if it is warlike", but he also shrewdly realized that after the United States defeated the Soviet Union, it must not cause trouble with China so quickly.  That could be a disaster for the United States, even if the United States is big and powerful.

    Baker then said: "The geostrategic importance of Balyu is too great. I'm afraid we can't let the Chinese do whatever they want, but letting them back off like this will probably affect our bilateral relations. We don't need a complete Yugoslavia either."  , a complete Balyu, this is not in our interests.¡±

    If Yugoslavia cannot get close to Europe and the United States and does not join NATO, it will always be a huge threat to neighboring countries with its national strength.  The United States always thinks about things with a traditional zero-sum mentality. If a new war breaks out, the force that Yugoslavia can provide cannot be underestimated. Even if it cannot compare with Germany and Italy, it can at least be as good as half of these traditional powers.

    Bush lowered his eyelids and thought for a long time, then showed a smile and said: "Let the Chinese do their thing. I think Yugoslavia's move will be a bad move for them, even if it does not destroy Yugoslavia economically.  , we have other means to turn Yugoslavia into a turbulent place. In the end, those small republics of various ethnic groups will choose independence. Moreover, this trend has already appeared, isn't it? "

    Baker's eyes lit up and he flattered him: "Mr. President is really wise. Yes, after people like Milosevic came to power, he has been promoting his Serbism, which has caused dissatisfaction among ethnic minorities in Macedonia, Kosovo and other places.  . As long as it is properly guided, it can also trigger violent ethnic conflicts in its country, and at that time we can intervene in the situation under the banner of a humanitarian crisis, haha, but China obviously does not have the ability to control the Mediterranean. "

    Bush nodded approvingly, and then continued: "The brewing of separatist sentiments in Yugoslavia may not happen overnight, so we must also make other preparations. We need to increase the penetration of liberal and democratic values ??into Yugoslavia.  Their red values ??must be replaced, and brutal communism and totalitarian dictatorship must be ended. Although the situation in Yugoslavia is better than other Eastern European countries, the suppression of freedom of speech and control of press freedom are still relatively severe. Here too  There¡¯s a lot to be done.¡±

    Chief of Staff Sununu also interjected: "Yes, these guys at CI can completely reverse right and wrong, and people's enthusiasm is the least needed for facts and reason. I think we can succeed."

    Bush laughed again and said: "Asking the Chinese to spend a lot of money and energy to help Yugoslavia ended up in vain. This is undoubtedly the best way to hinder them from becoming stronger. If they focus on running the country, they will be like before.  Hiding in a turtle shell, it is still difficult for us to do anything, but if they do this a few more times, we can easily make China lose all its money and ultimately be completely defeated in the competition for national power and influence.

    Several old men in the Oval Office smiled like flowers for a while.
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