Add Bookmark | Recommend this book | Back to the book page | My bookshelf | Mobile Reading

Free Web Novel,Novel online - All in oicq.net -> Historic -> Red Alert Greater China 1985

Text 332 Yugoslavia

Previous page        Return to Catalog        Next page

    Qi Yiming had little involvement in the drastic changes in Eastern Europe. Relatively speaking, he focused more on the domestic economy.  After the first few years of adaptation and preparation, China's economic growth began to surge at an unimaginable speed.  Regardless of the undervalued BNH exchange rate (mainly to facilitate exports) and the GDP calculated in US dollars, Qi Yiming's current economic scale should be roughly estimated to be the Chinese economy before the financial crisis in 1997.

    Especially since this year, China¡¯s plan to resume customs duties ahead of schedule has been officially completed. Although Qi Yiming did not attend the event, he has already felt how huge the increase in China¡¯s import and export trade will be after the restoration of membership of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade.  Originally relying on some advantageous products, Chinese goods have entered the markets of many countries. Now they have obtained the preferential treatment of "tariff concessions" in the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. Some far-sighted people in the West are beginning to worry that Chinese goods will seriously impact their own nation.  industry.

    Due to the serious underestimation of BNH currency, the stable price level, and the sharp increase in wages of urban and rural residents and other compound factors, Chinese state-owned and private enterprises that have received various technical support from Qi Yiming Red Alert Base have accounted for 10% in terms of commodity consumption characteristics such as quality and advancement.  It's a lot cheaper. Qi Yiming has long participated in a briefing led by the Ministry of Commerce, emphasizing the policy of ensuring huge export profits.  Many companies' export products, such as a car, may only cost 10,000 to 20,000 yuan domestically, but cost at least 10,000 to 20,000 US dollars abroad, which means the export price has increased at least eight times.  Even so, the price is almost the same as or even slightly lower than the price of Japanese cars.

    In another dimension, in order to earn foreign exchange from exports and increase the export competitiveness of its own goods, the country has always maintained an export tax rebate policy. It has also been criticized by many Western countries, but it has been maintained for decades. This policy existed until Qi Yiming traveled through  thing.  Qi Yiming decisively stopped export tax rebates.

    If you think about it, it becomes clear that if a car manufacturer sells a car for RMB 10,000 to RMB 20,000 in its own country, the profit margin is at least 100 (cost profit margin, that is, profit divided by cost). If it sells it to the United States and Western European countries, the sales amount will increase eight times. This kind of huge profit may be  I can¡¯t keep up with drugs and everything.  In this case, there is nothing to say about the country charging an export tariff of more than ten percent.

    ???????????????????? The higher the industrial technology threshold, the greater the huge profits. For example, although the profits of ordinary light industrial textiles are considerable, they are never as huge as selling cars, machinery, or ships.  It should also be mentioned that enterprises with this level of technology are basically large state-owned enterprises. After these enterprises have paid out wages and benefits and retained development funds, a large amount of dividend profits will be turned over to the super-large shareholder, the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission.  of.  This money has become national fiscal revenue and has been reinvested in a series of projects beneficial to the public, such as high-speed rail construction, port facility construction, education and medical care.

    Qi Yiming quite understands that this situation cannot last long, which is about one or two years. After the ghosts find out that someone is making a fortune in silence, they will definitely force China to sign a Plaza Accord similar to Japan.  s things.  Naturally, given China's size, it does not have the same choice as Japan. Even if exchange rates and other policies are adjusted, the competitiveness of these companies is still significant.  As long as there are no malicious trade barriers, even if the currency value is rationalized, they will not be too affected.

    In addition, this kind of overly undervalued exchange rate is also not healthy. This is conducive to exports and the country's self-sufficiency is relatively strong. There is no need to consider imports. However, healthy and reasonable trade cannot make the surplus become too large.  In another dimension, Qi Yiming witnessed the huge trade surplus and other Western pushers, which caused the country to endure huge inflationary pressure while the economy was developing rapidly.

    Furthermore, with economic development, domestic resources will definitely be insufficient. If the value of imported iron ore, copper ore, oil and gas, etc. is too low, it will also increase our own production costs and drive up world resource market prices.  , it will be even more destructive to the world economy.  China is not the only one eating in this big pot. If the pot is lifted, it will also be hungry.

    So Qi Yiming¡¯s plan is to rely on the super dividends in the first few years of the reform period and at the same time hold on under pressure from the West until no one wants to play with him, and then adjust the exchange rate to a more reasonable one.  And with the efforts of the past few years, it is completely possible to create a golden period for a country's original capital accumulation. It may only take around 1995 for the country's economic aggregate to reach the level of 205-2010 before he time traveled.  When the time comes, the Celestial Dynasty, with its deep pockets, will naturally gain huge economic influence.

    However, even if the economy has not yet reached the level of absolute power at this time, the energy of the Chinese economy has initially been revealed.  According to the predictions of the National Bureau of Statistics, the country's per capita GDP will exceed 1,060 BNH by 193. Although it is only about a thousand dollars in US dollars, the actual living standard is likely to be close to the level in another dimension of about 26 years.

    Economic statistics cannot explain much. One incident that can explain the problem is that China, which has received economic assistance from the United States, Japan and other countries, has a little spare money and has begun to prepare for BNH assistance.

    This kind of thing that seems unreliable but is actually very realistic isThey all made great efforts, and the target of aid was not the third world countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America, but the powerful country in Eastern Europe - Yugoslavia.

    Lai Zhenping took a 62 plane and came to Belgrade as an official of the Ministry of Commerce of China.  He was still reviewing the information before getting off the plane. Although as a talented red police economic and political spy, his ability and knowledge are very good, but whenever dealing with major events, he is no different from ordinary people.  It takes a lot of preparation.

    The economy of Yugoslavia, like many other countries in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union, had reached a dead end.  Yugoslavia during Tito's era was undoubtedly a country that the Chinese people longed for and admired. The famous movies "Walter Defends Sarajevo" and "The Bridge" and a series of other movies gave many Chinese people from the 1950s to the 1970s a special Yugoslav plot.  .  After entering the reform and opening up, a considerable number of people are studying how to learn from Yugoslavia's economic development and get rid of China's poverty and backwardness.

    Because of its break with the Soviet Union, Yugoslavia became a "traitor to the socialist camp" and a "revisionist country" and embarked on a path different from the Soviet system.  During the Tito era, a system was implemented in which the central government delegated power to local governments, allowing a certain degree of private economy and allowing people to own private housing.  By 1976, 3% of the people in the country owned their own cars, every B family owned a TV, every 21 families owned a refrigerator, and all children aged 7 to 15 could receive free B-year compulsory education.  It has its own medical welfare system and a literacy rate of 9.  It can be said that what the Chinese people have gained through thirty years of reform and opening up, and even what they have not achieved, the Yugoslavs had in the 1970s.

    But Tito¡¯s system also has hidden dangers. First of all, his decentralization system has weakened the authority of the central government. Delegation itself is right, but if it is delegated too much, problems may easily arise if some things are not kept in hand.  For example, Yugoslavia has more than 20 million people, but it has multiple ethnic groups with very different races, beliefs and cultures. These ethnic groups live in different regions and have uneven development levels, and there is no dominant ethnic group with an absolute advantage.  So in fact the interests are intertwined.

    For example, Milosevic, who was later accused of being the executioner of the genocide, began to promote his nationalism and "Greater Serbism" after coming to power in 1987. The policy of national reconciliation and integration that was strongly advocated during the Tito era was due to Milosevic.  Losevich has enough power and cannot be stopped by the central government. Of course, it cannot be ruled out that some people are not aware of what is happening, or are happy to see it happen.

    Especially when the economic situation began to decline, ethnic conflicts and conflicts of interest made it impossible for the Yugoslavs to unite and tide over the difficulties together. Many people only narrowly thought about their own relative interests, regardless of the rise and fall of the entire country. For example, Slovenia, because of its developed economy,  Therefore, it is unwilling to support Macedonia and other backward regions, and withholds aid and subsidies to these regions. However, because Macedonia and other backward regions cannot obtain funds to maintain development and survival, they are resentful of the central government and people in other regions.

    In Lai Zhenping's own analysis, there are two other important factors leading to Yugoslavia's predicament. First, because the economy is good and the residents are wealthy, the locals have a relatively large demand for life development and even luxury consumer goods, and Yugoslavia needs to borrow money to supply them.  consumption by domestic residents.  Moreover, this growth in consumer desire does not match the country's industrial growth and economic growth. After the oil crisis in the 1970s and the world economic contraction in the 1980s, it severely hampered Yugoslavia's economic development.

    Another important factor is the cold arrow from the West. Originally, in order to better develop the economy, Yugoslavia joined the International Monetary Fund and prepared loans to revitalize the economy. However, in the end they became poorer and poorer as they borrowed more, and the West also allowed the West to extend its hands into its own country.  The Yugoslavs who were influenced by the West began to deny their country's ideology, especially when the economic situation was poor, they became even more dissatisfied.  The West relied on various methods to pressure Yugoslavia into "reform methods" that would push Yugoslavia into the abyss.

    In Yugoslavia at the end of the 1980s, people's incomes and living standards declined. Due to insufficient financial resources, there were not many consumer goods on the market. In addition, more and more calls for democratization and ethnic conflicts accumulated, which led to the emergence of Yugoslavia.  A sign of irreversibility.

    It was at this time that Yugoslav Prime Minister Markovic visited the United States, hoping to obtain assistance from the United States. The Americans with malicious intentions were "generously" willing to provide assistance, but the condition was - shock therapy - freezing wages, prices, and currency.  Devaluation, gradual disintegration of the public ownership economy, and freer foreign capital operating activities.
Didn't finish reading? Add this book to your favoritesI'm a member and bookmarked this chapterCopy the address of this book and recommend it to your friends for pointsChapter error? Click here to report