Chapter 2546 Academic Report Chen Kangjie frowned. If the time cannot be limited and the urgency cannot be increased, the government's cooperation will inevitably be reduced. "Mr. Chen, I don't know why you are so urgent. Do you really foresee that there will be a major earthquake there within four years? This kind of prediction is almost impossible in the scientific community. Many scientists in the United States also predict There will be a major earthquake on the line from Los Angeles to San Francisco, but it has not happened after so many years. This is a worldwide problem. How about you talk to the relevant units and leaders of the National Seismological Administration?" Seeing Chen Kangjie frowning, Hou asked The director changed his mind. Regardless of whether they can cooperate or not, Director Hou does not want to stalemate his relationship with Chen Kangjie and the others, which would be detrimental to both him and the National Geophysical Research Center. Chen Kangjie shook his head dejectedly. It was difficult for those who were doing academic research to cooperate, not to mention the people from the National Seismological Administration. It was even more impossible for them. If it was possible over there, why would Chen Kangjie bother to talk so hard here? "Although I have a premonition that this thing is very empty and nihilistic, I really have such a premonition. Director Hou, do you think this is good? Just use a time period that allows you to advance, attack, retreat and defend. Within a few years, how can Like?" Chen Kangjie still wants to make a breakthrough here. The National Geophysical Research Center is the most authoritative earthquake research unit in the country. Their role may not be as formal as the National Seismological Administration, but its weight is not low. This unit is mainly funded by Chen Kangjie, so communication is obviously easier than other departments. "Within a few years?" Director Hou asked doubtfully. "Yes, we didn't say how many years anyway. Three to five years would be enough, ten to eight years would be enough, or even ten or twenty years would be reasonable. Anyway, it's an approximate number, and you can interpret it any way you want." Director Hou Still a little hesitant: "Wedoesn't this seem a bit opportunistic? There seems to be suspicion of cheating." "Director Hou, this is just called flexibility. Scientific research needs to be rigorous, but being a human being requires flexibility. It is very important. One thing is that the purpose of our doing this is not to harm anyone, let alone to make profits for us. After all, we are still doing it for countless people and for our country to pay attention to earthquake prevention work, instead of really having to wait until the tragic consequences. Just like SARS two years ago, we failed to establish an effective prevention and control system and disclosure mechanism, which cost us so much. If we had been prepared three years earlier. Is it that difficult to deal with? I think the situation is definitely much better. What is the purpose of doing geophysics? Is it just to have a salary to support the family? Or is it not for personal academic status? , you are not so narrow-minded, you must have a purpose, that is, your scientific research will benefit the country and mankind, let us deepen our understanding of the earth, and enable us to effectively prevent disasters caused by the earth and effectively utilize the earth's resources. . But don¡¯t forget, your research results need to be promoted by the government and industry, otherwise they will just be pale paper, which is meaningless.¡± Chen Kangjie gave full play to his eloquence, and he wanted to make the most of it. The director convinced me. "Okay, I'll do as you say." The half-silver-haired Director Hou became a little enthusiastic when Chen Kangjie said it. When he was excited, he casually agreed to Chen Kangjie. Chen Kangjie grabbed Director Hou's hand and shook it excitedly, "Director Hou, thank you. One day you will find out what a meritorious thing you have done. Thank you." As long as Director Hou agrees, How they communicate and integrate internally, and how they prepare relevant data and information, is their business. Chen Kangjie is an outsider and cannot provide further guidance. When Director Hou assigned this task, Chen Kangjie¡¯s so-called premonition attracted the attention of Academician Yang Zhihong, chief scientist of the National Geophysical Research Center. During the Great Kant¨ Earthquake, Academician Yang Zhihong was one of the researchers who went to Japan to conduct research. For scientific research, Academician Yang Zhihong not only traveled all over the country, but also personally went to South America, Europe, the United States and other places prone to earthquake disasters for field inspections. Four years ago, Academician Yang Hongyuan was elected as an academician of the Academy of Sciences as an authoritative geophysical scientist in China. He proposed the remote sensing satellite monitoring system, and he also led the team to carry out technical research. After Academician Yang Hongyuan noticed it, he deliberately pulled out the geological data of Xichuan and the monitoring data over the past few decades for separate research. Not to mention, he really found something valuable. Through the establishment and analysis of the data model, he really felt that it was very possible that the geological belt in Xichuan was becoming more and more active.A major earthquake disaster occurs. Chen Kangjie¡¯s ¡°within a few years¡± was originally just a technical inducement, but Academician Yang Hongyuan really felt that way. Therefore, when he led his team to accept the invitation of the Xichuan Provincial Party Committee and Provincial Government and went to Tianfu to give a report, his tone became much more positive. Of course, Academician Yang Hongyuan is not sure how and when the earthquake will occur. He only came to the conclusion that it is very likely after analysis and research. This academic report was attended by the main leaders of the Xichuan Provincial Committee and Provincial Government. However, the format was secret and no media interviews were allowed. The consideration of the Provincial Party Committee and the Provincial Government is not to cause panic. Before a decisive conclusion is reached, the circle must be controlled and the impact must be controlled. "The above are our research results. Of course, in order to obtain more detailed data, if the provincial party committee and provincial government cooperate, we can establish a more rigorous and scientific monitoring network in the province, such as integrating some testing equipment By regularly burying it 100 meters deep, through data collection over a period of time, we may be able to obtain a more accurate judgment," said Academician Yang Hongyuan in the report. "Academician Yang, I listened carefully to your scientific report just now. Why do I feel that you are still quite ambiguous? It seems that a major earthquake is about to happen here, and it seems unlikely. This haha, with such a conclusion, we I¡¯m a little clueless.¡± Zhou Yongfu, secretary of the Provincial Party Committee, who was sitting in the middle of the oval conference room, looked around at his colleagues in the Provincial Party Committee and the Provincial Government and said with a smile. Zhou Yongfu¡¯s purpose is very clear, which is to hope that everyone will work together to reject this ¡°ridiculous¡± conclusion. ¡°As long as scientists are not 100% sure, then the administrative power will have a lot of room for maneuver. Whether it is ultimately adopted or not, the key depends on the decision of these provincial leaders here. "Secretary Zhou, earthquake science is a worldwide problem. So far, we humans have no way to explore, sample and detect thousands of meters or even deeper underground. This is very special in the world's scientific community. The study of the atmosphere We can have satellites, hot air balloons, radar stations, or even take planes to the sky to observe, take pictures, and collect data. Because of this, no one in the world has been able to make accurate predictions so far. There is going to be some kind of earthquake somewhere somewhere. This cannot be done at present. However, this does not mean that our research is unscientific. Although the accuracy is still lacking, the trend and direction can still be grasped to a certain extent. , we know that the Indian Ocean Plate is moving northward at a speed of ten centimeters every year, the Eurasian Plate is being squeezed, Mount Everest is growing taller every year, and due to the influence of gravity, the Longmen Mountain along the east side of the plateau is gradually sinking. , and facing the stubborn obstruction of the Xichuan Basin, it will inevitably lead to long-term accumulation of tectonic stress energy. This accumulation of energy cannot last forever. It will be released when it reaches a zero point, and when it is released, it will cause violent events. "The earthquake." Academician Yang didn't understand Zhou Yongfu's purpose and just thought he was doubting his academic ability. "Academician Yang, you just said that we are under increasing pressure here, but this situation has not happened recently. Why do you think there will be a major earthquake here in a few years?" He Baoguo asked from the perspective of He is different from Zhou Yongfu, and his face is serious, which reflects that his tendency on this issue is different from Zhou Yongfu. Zhou Yongfu made a gesture, and He Baoguo also used a subtle way to emphasize his attitude. There is no one here who is not a human spirit, and they naturally know how to observe. He Baoguo could not let Zhou Yongfu lead everyone away after just one sentence. At the same time, he also wanted to test his influence among his colleagues. "Governor He, our seismic brigade in Tianfu reports certain monitoring data every year. Another very important reason is the geological structure here the geological structure here It has a fragile side, and its force is relatively limited. Because of this, it is very likely to cause a shallow earthquake, and the destructive power of a shallow earthquake will be greater than a deep earthquake "Academician Yang replied. Academician Yang came prepared, so the relevant preparations are quite sufficient. "Academician Yang, I would like to know if you have reported it to the State Seismological Administration, and what does the State Seismological Administration think of it?" Zhou Yongfu asked, grabbing a key point. "Thisshould not have been reported to the National Seismological Administration." Academician Yang could not lie on such an issue. "If this is the case, I think you should report it, and then the National Seismological Administration will organize relevant experts to conduct a consultation to draw a more reliable conclusion. Without the professional guidance of the National Seismological Administration, it would be difficult for us to know What should be done?"" Zhou Yongfu planned to push this issue away in a few words.