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Text 351: Don¡¯t take your opponent too lightly

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    After completing the analysis, Yoshimoto Teiichi said with certainty: "As long as the Kwantung Army reoccupies Rehe with one force during its march south, then their troops going south will have no way to replenish food and ammunition.  Being cut off again and without reinforcements, facing the elite troops of our North China Front who are waiting for work, there is no other way out except for the entire army to be destroyed or to disintegrate on the spot and become guerrillas like their so-called internal troops. "

    "Under such circumstances, no one with a clear head would risk their retreat being cut off and the entire army being annihilated, even under 80% chance, by forcing their way south. And since then,  Judging from the current battle situation, even if the Kwantung Army loses this counterattack, it remains to be seen whether they will be able to go south after a major battle, apart from the casualties. "

    "Of course it is not ruled out that they have this ambition, but judging from the casualty ratio of the Kwantung Army's previous battles with it, their casualties will not be less than that of the Kwantung Army. Under its current strength conditions, its southward march will not be until at least the beginning of next year.  After that, if they want to gather enough troops to go south, they have to wait for their advance army in Jehol to be trained to a certain extent. But based on comprehensive judgment, they will not be able to do so within this year at least."

    Regarding Yoshimoto Teiichi¡¯s answer, Tanaka Shinichi did not interrupt him.  It was only after he finished his answer that Tanaka Shinichi said: "From the perspective of the Kwantung Army, this anti-Japanese armed force took the risk of offending its backers and took advantage of Outer Mongolia to penetrate directly into Linxi. And with part of its troops, it penetrated directly into Linxi.  What exactly does Tongliao¡¯s move mean? Is their move simply to open up a new front and disperse the entire force of the Kwantung Army? "

    "Chief of Staff Yoshimoto, I hope the Kwantung Army will not take our young opponent too lightly. In just a few short years, from being trapped in the deep mountains and old forests to now, we can take a bite out of the mouth of the Kwantung Army.  A big piece of fat. Not only did he capture the entire northern Manchuria, he also seized all the key towns of the Kwantung Army. "

    "In such a short period of time, they can go from rogue bandits who can only harm the local area to a point where they can threaten the survival of Manchukuo and threaten the Kwantung Army's rule in Manchuria. How can they do it step by step? What if they can do it step by step?  They still stick to the rules, I¡¯m afraid they are still staying in the deep mountains and old forests.¡±

    "They adopted a variety of unconventional methods that allowed them to go from being plagued by scabies to becoming a serious problem for the Kwantung Army and even the entire empire. Don't forget, our biggest mistake before was to underestimate them too much.  It was our repeated mistakes in judgment that led us to this difficult situation.¡±

    "Although their commander is very young, he is extremely experienced in deploying troops and is extremely vicious in his attacks. He specializes in taking the wrong direction. We absolutely cannot judge with common sense against such an opponent who plays cards irrationally. Just rely on a new commander.  Jing, they can¡¯t afford to spend so much money.¡±

    Tanaka Shinichi's question, as the chief of staff of the Kwantung Army, Yoshimoto Sadaichi, who had drawn up multiple combat plans, answered without even thinking: "In our battle with this anti-Japanese armed force, they pay more attention to the organic  To annihilate the Imperial Army is not to capture the city. "

    "Tanaka-kun, their commander is very clear-headed. He will not stick to the gains and losses of one city or one place. What he values ????is the annihilation of our army's effective forces, rather than the capture of cities in Manchuria. Every action they make has a very clear  strategic goals. During the battle, they paid great attention to controlling the rhythm of the battle."

    "They would rather avoid the edge for the time being than be greedy for more. They are very good at formulating corresponding strategies and tactics based on their own strength. Even if they take risks in battle, they are only within the scope of the tactics, and absolutely  We won¡¯t take strategic risks easily.¡±

    "As I said before, when they go south, they not only have to face the hundreds of thousands of elite soldiers and generals of the Empire's North China Front, but also face the hundreds of thousands of troops of the Kwantung Army in the rear. And the flame supply line behind them is extremely long.  It will become their most fatal weakness.¡±

    "As a senior commander, he should know that the Imperial Army is not a fragmented Chinese army composed of many factions. There will never be a situation where they will not save themselves and fight on their own. He knows very well that once they go south to fight the North China Front, they will  The Kwantung Army behind them will never sit idly by."

    "And even with the so-called advancing army, they currently have absolutely no ability to fight against the two major strategic groups of the empire at the same time. And judging from their current strength, they are not an opponent of the two major strategic groups of the empire at all. Major General Tanaka, as a  As a soldier, you should know that when the quality is the same, quantity will become the key factor in determining the trend on the battlefield. "

    "On the battlefield in China, the empire repeatedly defeated the greater number with less. That's because the empire not only far surpassed the Chinese army in terms of equipment, but also in terms of the quality of its soldiers and the ability of its commanders., far more than the Chinese army.  The most important thing is that the heroic spirit of the Imperial Army is far superior to that of the Chinese army.  "

    "However, on the battlefield in Manchuria, all this can only be said that the two sides are roughly equal. Even in some aspects, our opponents surpass us, but there is one thing they can never make up for. That is, in the overall mobilization  In terms of strength, they are far from surpassing us.¡±

    "No matter how great the losses suffered by the Kwantung Army, they can recover in the shortest time through local support, but they do not have the capital. In terms of the Kwantung Army's combat effectiveness, if we win a battle, even if we fail,  But the losses caused to them will definitely not be minor. Where can they find enough troops to meet their needs when they go south? "

    "If they want to develop such a good appetite now, the meager population base in Northern Manchuria alone will not be able to support their ambitions. As for the situation in Manchuria, even if they are Chinese, they are definitely not  They are not as familiar and understanding as the Kwantung Army. Therefore, after comprehensive consideration, the Kwantung Army believes that their appearance in Western Manchuria and their posture to seize Rehe is not to open up their so-called communication line southward. "

    "This time they concentrated their forces and took advantage of the Soviet Union's gradual withdrawal from Outer Mongolia to move south, just to launch an attack from the flank of our army. There should be three so-called purposes for attacking Xinjing from the flank. The first is to  It was to assist the North China Communist Army that entered Jehol, because they knew that it would be difficult for the North China Communist Army to break through the interception of the Kwantung Army and successfully enter their so-called base area in Manchuria. "

    ""Even if they barely enter their so-called control area in Northern Manchuria, I'm afraid this army can no longer be called an army.  Regardless of the reason why the North China Communist Army mobilized so many troops into Manchuria, it is no longer possible to achieve it.  This is also one of the most important reasons for their appearance in Ximan.  "

    "The second point is that they have seized Linxi, and after cooperating with the Tongliao unit on the front, they can go south and enter the heart of our southern Manchuria. The Tongliao and Kailu lines contain the throat area between Western Manchuria and southern Manchuria. Once they use this  The two points are the starting points for the attack, and they can directly advance to the east to attack the Zhangwu and Faku lines, and even pose a threat to Fengtian and Siping."

    "Cut off the Kwantung Army's current main artery of north-south transportation along the medium-long railway. Instead of attacking troops north and east of Xinjing, form a three-sided encirclement against our defense divisions deployed on the front line of Xinjing. And cut off our north of Xinjing,  Troops including Xinjing received supplies of ammunition, food and other supplies from South Manchuria.¡±

    "The third point is that they fought in Linxi and cooperated with the advancing army in the direction of Jehol to distract the Kwantung Army's attention and strength in southern Manchuria, preventing the Kwantung Army from fully reinforcing the battlefield north of Xinjing and winning new territory for it.  Beijing creates conditions. Although our opponent does not focus on conquering cities and territories, the political significance of Xinjing is extraordinary. "

    "The Chinese people have always been good at face, and the Communist army pays more attention to its so-called political significance. So I think the focus of their entire deployment is still on Xinjing. Because for them, the significance and impact of capturing Xinjing is absolutely extraordinary. The capture of Xinjing is absolutely extraordinary.  Xinjing, at least for now, is of great benefit to them.¡±

    "Especially now that the Americans have begun to assist Chongqing regardless of their relationship with the empire. If they can seize the new capital at this time and prove their strength to the Americans, it will be very important for them when the United States assists Chongqing.  A piece of the pie goes a long way.¡±

    "According to the intelligence currently collected by the Kwantung Army, the Americans have a fairly large military observation group there. And although the Americans have not openly assisted them, they have not made any small moves in private.  Don¡¯t do it. The American-made fighter jets they use as their main force are absolutely impossible to obtain without the Americans¡¯ behind-the-scenes operations.¡±

    "At least right now, they don't have the financial resources to acquire hundreds of the latest American aircraft at once. And the British, who are doing their best to purchase military supplies in the United States, will not give up these aircraft easily. Without the secret assistance of the Americans  , even Soviet Russia cannot purchase so many American fighter jets.¡±

    "By taking over New Capital at this time, they are undoubtedly making a statement to the Americans. Or proving something to the Americans so that they can get more benefits from the Americans. For a country that is still non-industrial and cannot even produce bullets  For countries that cannot meet their needs, it will be difficult for them to fight a long war without foreign assistance.¡±

    "So the Kwantung Army can judge that the appearance of this anti-Japanese armed force in Western Manchuria is not to go south and open up connections with their so-called North China base area. All their deployments should be for the final capture of Xinjing. Using this as capital,  Get more aid from Americans.¡±"But no matter what their real purpose is, the Kwantung Army has decided to focus its next counterattack on the Western Manchuria area. Priority will be given to destroying the enemy's heavy troop clusters in Western Manchuria. As for the enemy forces in Northern Manchuria, I think a man-made  The floods are enough to put them in a quagmire."

    "Western Manchuria has concentrated most of the enemy's tanks, cars and heavy artillery. Even the ordinary infantry are elites among them. As long as the enemies of Western Manchuria are eliminated first, the Anti-Japanese Alliance will not be able to recover for a short time at least. By then.  Let alone maintaining the front line at the beginning of the year, it is not impossible for us to restore Manchuria in one battle. "

    "This counterattack is extremely important to the Kwantung Army. It is not only related to whether we can achieve the goal of the base camp, but also related to the ebb and flow of strength between the Kwantung Army and this anti-Manchu anti-Japanese armed force in the next few years.  , who can truly control Manchuria."

    "If this counterattack fails, the Kwantung Army will be severely damaged. It will affect not only the entire strategic intention of the base camp, but also whether the Kwantung Army can continue to firmly control Manchuria in the future. Major General Tanaka, if Xinjing is really lost,  I think it is not a trivial matter, let alone an unimportant matter. If Xinjing is lost, it will undoubtedly be a huge mental blow to the empire's future southward operations and will seriously affect the morale of the Kwantung Army's dispatched divisions."
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