That's right, Wang Yan's confidence is not overwhelming, but he has really mastered the winning method.
It turns out that at the beginning of the gambling game, Wang Juan felt that the gambling game seemed similar, but he didn¡¯t know where he had seen it before, so he fell into deep thought.
In the end, he finally uncovered his long-lost memory, because the first time he came into contact with this trick was in his previous life before time travel.
I remember it was at a night market. Not only myself, but also a loli girl went to the night market.
Wang Yan can¡¯t remember exactly how the little Loli girl was persuaded to go with him, but the picture in his mind slowly returned to that sultry night!
"Because the stall owner has mastered the winning method!"
A vulgar face appeared in the noisy night market and said the shocking words just now, but opposite him was a dejected and beautiful face. She was the little loli who was deceived by Wang Juan somehow.
The little Loli rolled her eyes at the uncle angrily, "What is the sure way to win such a simple game! I think it must be because you are the reincarnation of a bad god. With you following me, how can you still win!" "
"A simple game?" Wang Juan shook his finger disapprovingly, "Although the knowledge involved is not great, if you don't know the joints inside, it will be extremely difficult to win." Wang Juan said this He blinked his small eyes and said, "How about we discuss it? As long as you kiss me three times, I will tell you the secret."
"Kiss you!? Just daydream! To tell you the truth, the probability of this happening is the same as time travel, that is zero!"
"If it doesn't work after three attempts, why don't we just go to the head office? Why don't you just hold down your little hand?" The frustrated uncle was still lustful. While swallowing his saliva, he spoke out those evil thoughts that he had been planning for a long time, and finally followed Xiaoluo shamelessly. Li came to the carnival, she couldn't get nothing except being a follower and a coolie, right?
"But wait until the wretched uncle sees clearly that the beautiful girl is about to go berserk. He quickly jumped away with an action that was not suitable for his age and said: "Okay, okay, I will tell you for free. In fact, one of the words you just said has touched the core of this game, and that is probability. That¡¯s right, if you master the probability, you will master the sure way to win!¡±
"Probability?" Little Loli turned her head and glanced at the stall beside her. "There are a total of twenty-four colored balls, eight of each of three colors, and twelve are drawn at a time. How many combinations are there? It can't be 'three, four, five' every time, right? This kind of lottery is 2 yuan a time, except for the combination of '3, 4, and 5', the prizes for the other combinations are all worth more than 20 yuan, so only once out of ten times does the lottery player draw a combination of balls that is not '3, 4, or 5' Five', then the stall owner will lose money. How can he not go bankrupt after one night? Unless the probability of the 'three, four, five' combination is more than 90%, but this is obviously impossible!"
"You are right. There are indeed many combinations of twelve colored balls randomly picked out from the twenty-four colored balls. If you consider the color difference between the colored balls, there are 57 combinations in total, among which 'three and four' There are six combinations of five'. They are '5 red, 4 yellow and 3 blue', '5 red, 4 blue and 3 yellow', '5 yellow, 4 red and 3 blue', '5 yellow, 4 blue, 3 red' and '5 blue'. 4 yellow 3 red' and '5 blue 4 red 3 yellow'. If you don't consider the color differences between the colored balls, then there are 13 combinations. Some boring people have calculated the probabilities. If the color differences of the colored balls are not considered, , then the probability of finding the 'three-four-five' combination is about 50%, followed by the 'four-four-four' and 'six-two-four' combinations, which are about 12% respectively, and finally the 'six-three-three' and ' The probability of the "552" combination is about 6%. The probability of each of the other combinations is only one percent, or even less than one thousandth. So the three times you touched it just now are all "345", okay It¡¯s not surprising at all!¡±
"So that's it" Little Loli nodded thoughtfully, but immediately questioned, "But even if the 'three, four, five' combination is around 50%, the stall owner will still lose money, you know It only costs 2 yuan to get a prize once, but the value of any other combination of prizes is more than 20 yuan. No matter how lucky the stall owner is, the prize will be taken away at least once in three times on average, and the profit is only 6 yuan. , but you paid 20 yuan, why don¡¯t you lose your underwear!¡±
Wang Yan smiled when he heard this, and suddenly pointed at a group of men opposite him and said, "Xiaomei, look, there are a group of handsome guys over there!"
"Where? Where?" The little Lolita, who was just frustrated and troubled by the lottery game, immediately became energetic. She stretched her pink neck to an extremely long position, desperately looking for such a rare thing as a handsome guy in the sea of ??people. When she saw the uncle clearly The person behind the group of people he was referring to also said with stars in his eyes: "It's true! There are so many handsome guys! This one is so handsome, he looks like a tomato, this one looks like blood red, look at that one, it's that one, do they look alike? The Great God at the Starting Point has forgotten his words!¡±The little Lolita was still excited, but Wang Juan suddenly snapped his fingers in her ear, pulling the lost lamb out of her confusion. Looking at the other party with angry expressions on his face, Wang Juan quickly explained: "This is a psychological trap!"
"A psychological trap? A handsome guy can be considered a '** trap' at best. How can it be called a psychological trap?"
Wang Juan rolled his eyes angrily, "The psychological trap I'm talking about is not the group of handsome guys, but the experiment just now!"
"Experiment?"
"That's right, among the group of little brats we just passed by, seventy-eight out of ten are indeed pretty red-lipped and white-toothed. Plus, I shouted 'a bunch of handsome guys', and you unconsciously accepted this concept." ', but little Loli students, please note that among the dozen boys, there are still two or three who can only be regarded as 'neatly dressed', which has nothing to do with the word 'handsome', at least their level is better than mine. Next. But why don't you question the statement of 'a group of handsome guys'? It's because after you verified my statement based on your first glance, you focused on the things that really attracted you. ." When Wang Yan said this, he glanced at the lottery stall and saw that the stall owner did not pay attention to the two of them. He pointed at the prizes on the stall and said, "Come and take a look at this lottery game again. In the twelve combinations There are so-called prizes "worth more than 20 yuan" on the Internet, many of which are 50 yuan or even 100 yuan. The other prizes are valuable at first glance, but are these prizes really worth more than 20 yuan? Look at the four combinations I just mentioned, except '345', which have a relatively high probability. The prize for '444' is a pen, and the prize for '624' is a set. The model toys, the combination of '633' and '552' are the so-called 'Korean Wave' headgear. Are these items really worth more than 20 yuan? I don't think so! But why is it so big? Have most of the lottery winners who were watching lost the ability to think rationally? This is the same as the 'group of handsome guys' experiment just now. They were also attracted by the prizes at a glance, and naturally agreed with the stall owner. However, these genuine high-value prizes are placed on those combinations with a probability of only 1%, while the other combinations with a higher probability are just some unworthy prizes, with a value of only about 2 yuan, and the lottery The cost is not much different, so the stall owner can remain invincible in a seemingly unfavorable situation. This is his 'sure-win method'!"
"There is no prize for the 'Three, Four, and Five' with a probability of 50%, and the prizes with a probability of 12% and 6% are about the same as the lottery cost. In total, there is almost a 50% chance that the stall owner will make money, and the other 40% will not lose money." Earn, so there is less than a 10% chance of losing money" The little Loli counted with her fingers and jumped up like a little rabbit. She said in a loud voice: "This calculation is also very good. Come on! No, I have to get my money back, it¡¯s too deceiving!¡±
Wang Yan hurriedly pulled the impulsive little Loli aside and comforted him softly: "What are you shouting for? Is it easy to set up a street stall on a hot day? After all, this can be regarded as wisdom creating wealth. Does it make sense for you to expose others? If it really does happen, Ability, have you exposed the housing price trap? Let's treat it as a distribution of wealth today. Anyway, your eldest lady is not short of these few dollars, just buy less A-grade goods. I checked it on Taobao, you A fake 'miumiu' handbag costs 800 oceans, right?"
"Shh-" The little Lolita's originally angry pretty face still had a look of dissatisfaction. When she heard the uncle exposed her ass, she quickly forgot about the incident just now and glared at the uncle fiercely. : "A-quality, A-quality, who said that this girl is wearing A-quality, these socks of mine are really dkny!"
"Haha, it turns out that you are even more outrageous than this stall owner. You only use a genuine product, just because you want others to think that you are genuine from top to bottom. Among the twelve prizes, eight of them are genuine. It turns out that you are the right one. A master! Ouch¡ª¡ª" Wang Yan was talking proudly, but he felt a pain in his feet. Needless to say, it must have been secretly played by the little Lolita. She said in a hateful voice: "I told you to gloat about your misfortune. Since you were so early in the morning, You saw the trick of the stall owner, why didn't you remind me in the beginning, you just wanted to see me make a fool of myself so you could show off your cleverness, right?"
"Xiaomei, you really wronged me. It's only now that I saw the trick of the stall owner. And even if I see through it, I can't break the opponent's winning method. If you really want to win, unless "
"Unless what?"
"Unless the twenty-four balls are replaced by twenty-four cards, I really have a sure-fire way to win!" (To be continued.)