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Work related 281. This is speculation

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    281. This is speculation.

    "Chen Guobin, can you please stop for a while? You have been an angry youth all day long, spreading pessimistic arguments and dampening people's enthusiasm for construction. Can't you do more serious research when you have time?"

    For several weekends in a row, I could hear that guy yelling in my ear from time to time, saying this was messing around, that was messing around, and in short, it was useless. Zhao Yaqin really couldn't stand it.  She was in the study room. She had just opened an investment proposal on her laptop, and was immediately caught by a senior leader surnamed Chen who was sitting next to her, reading Das Kapital carefully, and made a bitter sarcastic comment.  It is said that they are working for creditors in vain, as laborers, etc.

    Zhao Yaqin was always affected by similar arguments. Her head was about to collapse. She shook her head with an annoyed look on her face, and pushed the notebook away with an ouch: "I'm really annoying you!"

    At the same time, he also picked up a book of Capital from the side and read it with patience.

    ¡°At first, Zhao Yaqin scoffed at someone¡¯s argument that the consequences of the Great Leap Forward would be serious, but after hearing more and thinking about it, she gradually became confused. She obviously lost the passion for revolutionary work as before.  Before resolutely and completely refuting that guy, Zhao Yaqin found that she really didn't have the courage to be bold and bold as before, so she also strengthened her theoretical study accordingly to avoid being ridiculed by someone for not even planning the economy and the market economy.  A postdoc in economics who can¡¯t tell the difference.

    Chen Guobin turned to look at his wife's wonderful performance, shook his head and smiled disapprovingly: "Angry youth and pessimism are not linked. The so-called anger means working hard to make progress. Revolutionary enthusiasm is very strong, and it usually manifests as left-leaning adventurism.  . Being as pessimistic as I am can only be regarded as right-leaning opportunism.¡±

    He sighed softly again, with a more serious look on his face: "Yaqin, we have to be responsible to the people! We can't continue like this. Doing nothing is much better than being so hot-headed.  .¡±

    "You are the only one worrying about the country and the people, and we are all hurting the country!" Zhao Yaqin gritted her teeth and snorted, and continued to turn over Das Kapital without looking back, looking for relevant theoretical basis again. Suddenly her eyes lit up again, and she said  : "The weak eat the strong and the fittest survive. This is the law of nature, whether it is nature or human beings, it has been like this from ancient times to the present. Why do you discriminate against the rich? People also earn their money through hard work. Without competition, how can there be any enthusiasm?  ?Haven¡¯t you had enough of the big pot of rice?¡±

    "Sister, I was born in 1973, and I really haven't had much experience of eating from a big pot." Chen Guobin retorted with a curl of his lips.

    "That's right." Zhao Yaqin patted her head exaggeratedly, looking at someone's "immature" face, and teased: "Why did I forget? Our little brother Guobin is still so young."

    "Zhao Yaqin, just pretend to be big!" Chen Guobin glared bitterly, "Just wait and see how I deal with you!" His eyes lightly swept across the madam's proud chest.

    "Tch, am I still afraid of you?" Zhao Yaqin puffed up her arrogant chest. She was actually a little flustered, but when she thought of the great truth, she no longer cared and stared at her: "Chen Guobin, don't change the subject on purpose!  You haven¡¯t answered my question directly yet.¡±

    Chen Guobin was noncommittal: ¡°Are humans animals?¡±

    "Of course it's not nonsense!" Zhao Yaqin said with a serious look on her face, "Don't play this kind of word game, and speak the truth seriously. You just love to quibble, and you have said that the great construction situation is useless!"

    "Humans are indeed not beasts." Chen Guobin said with emotion: "Animals usually only ask for the part they need, just like a tiger. It will be satisfied when it kills the target and eats it, and will not kill any more at will.  But our human greed is endless, and no amount of money can satisfy us. This is the essential difference between humans and animals!"

    He paused and continued: "As you said, the weak eats the strong. In the animal world, the strong eaters will not waste money casually. They usually go to the weak to meet their basic needs when they are hungry. Only in this way can there be endless life.  For thousands of generations, we have coexisted for a long time. If the strong eaters are endlessly greedy and wantonly kill the weak for fun when they are full, then eventually the strong eaters will also fall into a situation of serious food shortage. And the nature of us humans and animals  They are not the same, but they have endless greed, so this must be effectively restricted in economic activities to prevent the strong eaters from hunting the weak ones beyond their limits, otherwise the balance will inevitably be lost. When the weak ones fall one after another,  The strong eaters will eventually lose their living space."

    "For example. In the originally harmonious nature, a monster suddenly appeared. This monster has a huge appetite and is full of energy. It eats ten animals of equal size a day, and likes to kill more for fun. More  Seriously, it runs faster than any animal and has stronger attack power than any animal. So, may I ask Comrade Zhao Yaqin, how will the situation develop?"

    Saying that, Chen??bin stared at the madam's big eyes with a playful expression.

    "Isn't it just like that?" Zhao Yaqin curled her lips and glared in displeasure, "Other animals are rapidly decreasing, and this kind of monsters are increasing rapidly." She already somewhat understood the meaning of this metaphor.

    Chen Guobin smiled and continued to inspire: "What happens next?"

    Zhao Yaqin felt that the guy regarded her as a primary school student, and felt very uncomfortable. She gritted her teeth and said, "I will eat and kill all the other animals! So what? You are just using a metaphor."

    Chen Guobin was noncommittal: "What happens after you eat them all and kill them all?"

    "The monsters will kill each other again! In the end, they will all be destroyed!" Zhao Yaqin curled her lips and said it very lightly.

    "Idiot!" Chen Guobin shook his head, raised his hand and tapped the head lovingly, "You underestimate the intelligence and abilities of the monsters. They will not kill each other and wait to die."

    ¡°Ah¡ª¡ª¡± Zhao Yaqin protested with her teeth and claws raised, ¡°Huh, what do you think will happen?¡±

    Chen Guobin smiled very lightly: "It's better to go abroad when you can't eat enough in this land! Of course, if you go abroad, these very well-developed monsters must first undergo gastrectomy surgery from the other country to change their appetite to  One-tenth of the original speed, and then tie sandbags on the legs to slow down the speed to the average level of the animals. Then, the monsters can live together for four generations and live happily on the other side. Although the surgery and beatings  The sandbags will be a little painful, but compared to being completely dead in the original country, it is infinitely better."

    Zhao Yaqin argued subconsciously: "Then other animals can also go abroad to avoid monsters?"

    Chen Guobin stared: "You think you can get out as soon as you figure it out? Those terrifying crocodiles in the Mara River are waiting with their mouths open! Only monsters with super mobility and attack power are not afraid of those lumpy things at all. Whoosh!  It's over in just one click." He also made gestures to cooperate in a lively manner.

    Zhao Yaqin looked at the guy dumbfounded, and Xiaohui sighed quietly: "Is this really going to happen?"

    She seemed to be talking to herself: "As long as the animals are not eaten by monsters, they can still recover. Moreover, when the number of animals is small and there is less competition for resources, recovery will be faster. In fact, while the monsters are still there, at the same time,  Large-scale grassland construction has been carried out, and there are lush young grasses everywhere. Animal groups can easily breed and grow. The situation is not as serious as you said. Don't go back decades at a time."

    As he spoke, Zhao Yaqin¡¯s eyes flashed with light.

    Chen Guobin nodded slightly, with a look of appreciation on his face, and asked earnestly: "Yaqin, do you still think that the law of the jungle can justify unscrupulous plunder?"

    Zhao Yaqin pouted and still argued: "At least the grassland has developed!"

    Chen Guobin smiled and said noncommittally: "Does the monster need to be restrained by gastrectomy surgery and sandbags to ensure the fairness of order?"

    "Oh, you are so wordy! You really thought I was a primary school student!" Zhao Yaqin glared angrily.

    Chen Guobin smiled and gently pulled his wife, held her in his arms, and said with emotion: "The profiteering industries that are crowned with privileged monopoly status are those terrifying and greedy monsters. If they continue to be indulged or even encouraged like this, they will quickly devour them."  Throw away everything, not even the bones and scraps are left. Right now, our large-scale construction is in full swing, but our market environment is increasingly deteriorating due to this excessive overdraft. The survival of a large number of industries is becoming increasingly difficult. If this continues,  When there is no longer any profit margin, sensitive international capital will withdraw one after another, and a large number of domestic industries will collapse in batches. In the future, those privileged capital that have made enough and are about to die will also flee one after another.  Will stay and wait for death. In the end, we will only be left with a debt-ridden mess that is not even poor. If we still cannot recognize the nature of the monster by then, and cannot recognize the dangers of being hot-headed and overdrafted  , even if we manage to recover the severely retarded economy after going through untold hardships, we will be eaten up by monsters again and quickly return to before liberation."

    The two were quiet for a while, looking at each other intently.  Zhao Yaqin reached out and gently touched Chen Guobin's face that was full of "vicissitudes of life", and everything was left speechless.  But no matter what, she can't give in easily verbally!

    After a long time, Chen Guobin sighed again: "How kind animals are. They see the monsters enthusiastically helping to build rich grasslands on a large scale. They are all looking forward to a very bright future, but they are losing sight of the rapidly decreasing number of companions around them.  He was as vigilant as he should be, and he couldn't react until he was eaten"

    "Okay, don't keep thinking about these things." Zhao Yaqin touched the guy's face with some distress, "Even if that is the case, we can't solve the problem just by thinking about it. If we need a painfulOnly through experience and lessons can we learn how to run the economy, so why should we take it too seriously?  Reform is essentially a matter of crossing the river by feeling for the stones. It is inevitable to pay some tuition fees, but so what if the price is high?  Doesn¡¯t the earth still rotate and people still live?  At worst, we can go to the village to farm!  You have arms and legs, but you can still starve to death?  "I was so proud at the moment.

    Chen Guobin was immediately moved and couldn't help but stretched out his hand to touch Madam's increasingly cute head, with a look of affection on his face: "Yaqin, I'm so happy that you can think so" He finally didn't hit the lady this time.  Got the light enthusiasm for farming

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    "Brother-in-law, this is our group's land stockpiles in Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen all purchased at low prices. We plan to wait until 2010, five years later, to build houses on a large scale, and take advantage of that  If you buy it at the most ideal price, you can make a lot of money in one go!¡±

    In the spacious and majestic chairman's office, Dong Yining pointed to a large form and introduced it to Chen Guobin who was standing next to him on a business trip to the provincial capital and came to visit the group. His eyes almost glowed green.  And those lands can easily amount to tens of thousands of acres in a city, and the reserves are astonishing. With housing prices continuing to rise crazily, land hoarded at such a low price obviously has amazing room for appreciation. No wonder the sister-in-law is so excited.  .

    Chen Guobin immediately wrinkled his forehead: "Yining, this is wrong! Forget it before, you can't do it again in the future."

    "Why?" Dong Yining pouted, "It's only natural to take advantage of information!" After a pause, she said seriously: "You are not a gentleman if you don't make money! Ouch¡ª¡ª"

    She was immediately knocked on the little head. She covered her head, her mouth almost reached the sky, and she looked at the brother-in-law with grievance.

    Chen Guobin looked at the man with a serious face and said: "Yining, how much wealth do you think you have created for society, and how much wealth have you robbed from the people? Did you create more, or plunder more?"

    Dong Yining muttered in a low voice: "If you want to make money, just make money. It's so ugly to say plundering. If you don't make money, who will do it? Ouch¡ª¡ª"

    She almost shed tears after being hit on the head again.

    Chen Guobin sternly reprimanded: "When the wealth you plunder greatly exceeds the wealth you actually create, this is speculation! It is pushing the national economy into a pit of fire! The bigger your company grows, the greater the harm  "

    He then patiently gave this sister-in-law, who had a strong understanding but was a bit greedy for money, a good hour-long macroeconomic theory class, and profoundly explained the unprecedented harm of unfair competition.

    "Even if I don't make money, others will." Dong Yining curled her lips, "I'm not from the government department. Your government has created so many exploitable loopholes, can you blame me? You can't let me  Putting money in the bank will devalue it, right? Inflation is too fast now, and the government is grabbing money. If our companies don't grab it, they will be robbed."

    Chen Guobin shook his head and let out a long sigh. He completely understood this sister-in-law's thoughts. They were always the same before, but now his understanding is much deeper. He is too worried about the country and the people, and his selfishness is getting smaller and smaller.  So I don't want to see such naked plunder around me anymore.  He came to Tianning Group today after careful consideration, and it was not just a simple visit.

    "Yi Ning, please clean up the domestic business and gradually shift the company's focus overseas." Chen Guobin looked at it earnestly, "Even if we are unable to stop this kind of unscrupulous plunder, we can no longer help it.  Every time we plunder a little more today, the disasters for the people in the future will be aggravated. The main meaning of a person's life is not to plunder other people's wealth, but to create new wealth. In fact, what is the use of so much money?  To us, it is just a symbol. But for the broad masses of people whose lives are becoming increasingly difficult, every time they are robbed less, life will become a little less tense. More importantly, we must have a conscience  , this is the bottom line of being a human being! We didn¡¯t realize it deeply in the past, but now that we understand it, we can¡¯t do that anymore. Others do bad things, which is not the reason for us to do bad things! Right is right, evil is evil, no reference is needed!¡±

    Looking at the firm and heavy look on the brother-in-law's face, Dong Yining felt her nose was a little sore and her heart was greatly touched.  She gritted her teeth and nodded resolutely, and said passionately: "I listen to my brother-in-law! I will do whatever my brother-in-law says"

    Chen Guobin looked pleased and touched his particularly obedient little head lovingly.

    In fact, for similar mobilizations, he had previously communicated with Chu Xiongfei and Lin Shilei who were still abroad, and successfully convinced them that the strategic focus would gradually shift overseas.

    The reason whyIn doing so, Chen Guobin has seen that if he continues to stay in the country, there is no other better way out than illegal and crazy plundering of people's wealth.  Only by plundering will you have a chance to survive!  But those who honestly create wealth will inevitably become the targets of plunder.  In this market environment that has completely lost its fairness and justice, he does not want to see the people around him continue to be like before.  Going abroad is to preserve our strength without continuing to harm the people at home, and wait until the market returns to basic order in the future, then come back to engage in industry, honestly create social wealth, and make more meaningful contributions to the recovery of the economy that is in dire straits.  .  By then, what the country needs most urgently is real capital, not excessive currency symbols.

    Chen Guobin knew that his energy was limited, but when he saw the situation clearly, he could no longer feel at ease. At least he had to start from the side.  He firmly believes that the more impetuous the era, the more necessary it is to have a conscience. This is the soul that can sustain a nation. No matter how weak it is, it can make a comeback.

    What particularly touched him was that it didn't take much effort to convince them. Everyone's soul was so pure. After being explained clearly, everyone made the decision to shift their strategy without hesitation, even though there were still people in the country.  Such a huge and amazing ability to attract money - the potential to be robbed.

    "Brother-in-law, can I open my film company? This is a service industry without much bubble. It depends entirely on real competition. If the film is not good, who will watch it? I am a newcomer!"

    After being so arrogant and being enthusiastically praised, Dong Yining couldn't regret it anymore, so she took the brother-in-law's hand and started to be nice. Recently, she was particularly interested in making movies, and she seemed to have found another great joy in life.

    Chen Guobin chuckled and nodded seriously: "Of course! Brother-in-law, I am also a super consultant. I can't just have an empty title. I also have to have some ideas"

    Dong Yining hummed happily and almost jumped up.

    Although she loves money more, compared to her brother-in-law, Dong Yining feels that there is not much difference between 10 billion and 100 billion. Originally, her goal was to increase the group's assets from 30 billion to more than 100 billion in the next five years.  , now we can only honestly play some tricks abroad, plan to save the country through curves, and use the world economic crisis in a few years to make a "small" sum in some developed countries fairly and equitably, and then transfer it back to save the country and the people.  Don't be too shabby

    ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

    At work, Chen Guobin did not have any big economic news. In addition to unswervingly supporting the construction of the school, he focused on grasping laws and regulations, carefully supervising all departments under his command, and earnestly fulfilling their responsibilities.  responsibilities.

    The so-called market economy means that the government no longer dominates, and that is wrong.  The real responsibility of the government is to maintain a fair and just market order!

    ¡°As for the expressway that Chen Guobin was very enthusiastic about a few months ago, he has now put it aside and does not plan to promote it anymore. This will inevitably increase the huge government liabilities for each of the three cities.  In fact, the current traffic volume on provincial highways is less than 1,000 vehicles day and night. Even if the traffic volume is fortunate enough to increase five times in the next ten years, there will be no need to design an expressway that can carry more than 25,000 vehicles day and night.  He was determined to properly transform the existing secondary provincial roads into closed roads.  The specific measures are to abandon the original sections that pass through villages and towns, and establish bypass lines. At the same time, bridges will be erected to straighten a few complex sections. The other two sides will be separated by barbed wire and fully closed except for entrances and exits at appropriate distances.  In this way, the average speed and traffic volume can be significantly increased. It is not a problem to pass 8,000 vehicles day and night, which can basically meet the needs of the next fifteen years.  This is rational

    ¡°What often lingers in Chen Guobin¡¯s mind now is how to change the current highly distorted economic development model that is recklessly based on GDP.

    He increasingly realizes that only by deepening reforms as soon as possible and effectively transforming to a market economy can there be a real way out.  However, this kind of reform cannot be solved at the grassroots level, and it is impossible for the local part to block the fierce wave of the overall situation.  Just like Li Ning, after he left, the huge investment that originally accompanied him also decreased massively. The good results that Li Ning had achieved were now about to be unsustainable, and the endless political turmoil was about to begin again.  Fu leads investment to boost GDP in a vicious cycle.  This made Chen Guobin feel particularly sad and helpless.  The reality is always cruel!

    In a highly distorted economic order, wantonly plundering and accumulating wealth is not a difficult thing, let alone a commendable thing.  It means nothing to the country as a whole, except endless mischief.

    Chen Guobin is paying more and more attention to the policies of the central government. Even if it is just a few words, he will think more about it and try to see more things.  He also pays more attention to the performance of central leaders, and his vision goes far beyond the original scope

    (ps: Huoqia originally didn¡¯t pay attention to the economy. But the reality is too bad.?Unconsciously, I still pay attention to this thing, so let's pour some cold water on it in advance.  I hope that everyone can be mentally prepared before the Great Recession comes, and just face it calmly. Life is just a dream. If you live or die, you will not take it with you. Just relax and relax. There are no obstacles that you cannot overcome.  In addition, I would like to remind you very solemnly: readers who have extra houses must not hesitate any longer and take advantage of the last opportunity before the avalanche to take action.  The massive housing stock of more than 100 million units collected by speculators will soon be forced to be released. By then, the houses will not even be worth anything. Even if they drop to a quarter of their original value, they will not be sold. The supply is far greater than the demand.  .  The Great Depression was inevitable, and it was time for the Great Leap Forward to come to an end.  There is also quite reliable news that the new political situation has been decided, and there is no suspense about the major adjustments to the economic structure. This means that many ugly and greedy bubble products will be decisively abandoned by the government and will no longer foot the bill, thus leaving the country  The economy is in dire straits.  Everyone should stop selling everything related to the bubble. For example, private loans are now the last chance to recover.  If we don't collect it, the capital chain will soon burst. This is the inevitable result of the bubble bursting. Apart from bubbles, we don't have any real economy with such a high private lending rate of return.  Only by waking up in time before that moment comes can you have a chance to escape. After that, it will be too late.  The above are all Huo Qia's heartfelt words. Whether everyone can keep their wealth depends on fate.  History at home and abroad has fully proved that there are always a few who can escape in time. Whether it is the stock market, the property market, or anything else, the essence is the same. Inertia and greed always kill people. Don't be fooled by this appearance.  Goodluck!  )

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