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Volume 1: The Miracle of Qishan Chapter 196: Conditions for Surpassing the United States

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    The mission is important.  ¨t:¨tPiaotian Literature Network¨t­Š¨t

    On the flight back to the capital, Yang Shaozong spent three hours carefully reading Chen Xihua's annual economic research report. Overall, he did not feel that there was anything that needed to be repeated. The report was written by his mentor, Professor Yang Xiaokai and  It was jointly written by Chen Xihua, Fan Gang, and Xiao Aihua. The Qizhou Institute of Economic Research, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Qizhou University, Peking University Research Center, and other national statistical institutions participated in the relevant work.

    There are no problems with the data and conclusions.

    What else need to be said?

    On the plane, Yang Shaozong had been thinking about this issue.

    Back in the capital, Premier Rong took the time to talk to him alone for twenty minutes and explained the situation in general. The Politburo was not dissatisfied with the reporting work undertaken by Chen Xihua, but hoped that Yang Shaozong would come out and say something more useful.

    For politicians, the data and theories mentioned by Chen Xihua are a bit vague, including the previous two directors of the National Research Center.

    Premier Rong¡¯s intention is not to talk about the logic of data and economics for the time being. It doesn¡¯t matter if it¡¯s simpler, more straightforward, more in-depth and bolder.

    After talking for twenty minutes, Yang Shaozong generally understood what Premier Rong meant. It was just that his speech tour was widely reported in the country. Everyone felt that he should follow this model to speak more carefully to the country and to the Chinese nation.  Economic development points the way.

    This is quite nonsense.

    "Because Yang Shaozong was actually very irresponsible during his speech tour throughout Asia. What he said is definitely right and has important reference significance for several countries, but it is very difficult to implement it.

    On the other hand, China¡¯s economic reform is very difficult.

    "Anyway, Yang Shaozong generally understood it in his heart.

    After two days of preparation, Yang Shaozong re-entered the Zhongnanhai Conference Hall with Chen Xihua¡¯s report. The time was 8 o¡¯clock in the evening, and the members of the Political Bureau had already arrived at the venue ten minutes in advance.

    Yang Shaozong¡¯s position was on the podium in the front row of the venue. It was a bit like a trial bench in a court. Others were seated at a higher level than him. They were all sitting, but he was the only one standing.

    There is no other way. We are all members of the Politburo here. If you don¡¯t stand, how can you still sit like everyone else?

    The list of members of the Politburo this term is a bit special. Cheng from Songzhou was not included. There are only 21 members and two additional members. Cheng originally became an additional member in 1994, but he suddenly retired due to illness at the end of 1997.

    The reason is very simple. Someone in Qizhou filed a complaint.

    Cheng's problems have always been well known. My wife's two younger brothers, Cheng's two brothers-in-law, are both engaged in real estate in Songzhou. These two people are doing very crazy things and have attracted a large number of local "businessmen" in Songzhou.  .

    These people form a group. Except for Zhongqi Land and Qizhou Real Estate, which are direct descendants of the Zhongqi clan, and they are more afraid of them, other real estate companies, including CITIC, Vanke, China Overseas, China Merchants, and Overseas Chinese Town, have no hope of stability in Songzhou.  If they take a piece of land, small real estate developers will be in dire straits.

    Because of this special competition, many companies can only resort to bribery, joint stock ownership, etc., so that the other party can take a 20% stake in the project without paying any money.

    In 1997, Yang Shaozong had actually negotiated with Cheng through Kan Zhidong, hoping that Cheng would be in charge, but the result was found out by the other party. They frantically attacked the development of the Zhongqi Department in Songzhou and tried every means to create difficulties. Cheng relied on his own  Even though he is a member of the Politburo, he seems to be turning a blind eye.

    You're fucking bullshit.

    At that time, Yang Shaozong had just killed Yuanhua behind his back, and was still tinkering with the bad debts of the Provincial Party Committee and the Department of Transportation of Guizhou Province - it was impossible not to do it. He planned to do it in Guizhou Province in 1994, and invested 600 million to test it first.  The highway was half eaten by people.

    You probably really think Yang Shaozong is easy to bully, right?

    Yang Shaozong couldn't bear it. He just regarded the 600 million as wasted, temporarily terminated other investment plans in your province, and secretly asked people to fiddle with the information.

    Here in Songzhou, he has a lot of things in his hands.

    He didn't come forward, so he asked Song Fangzhou of Fuqi Group to come forward, and teamed up with more than a hundred bosses, including those in real estate and various fields. On the surface, they had little to do with the Zhongqi Group. Through his contacts, the lawsuit was sent to him in one fell swoop.  It is in the hands of Premier Rong, Member of the Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China Liu and the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.

    During the Yuanhua case, Standing Committee Member Liu knew very well that his children were involved in the case. It was all settled by Yang Shaozong and Chi Lili at the beginning, so this favor must be given.

    Not to mention Premier Rong, they are all old subordinates. They originally had high hopes, but who knew that he would cause such bad things? He went to Songzhou to investigate the case in person, and it took less than a month.; This theory is difficult to apply in other countries in the world, but in China, a huge problem is that the national savings rate remains high. Using this high savings rate and long-term low interest rates, capital can be transferred to national bonds to temporarily alleviate  problem; on the other hand, China has a large number of national assets that can be sold to further pay off debts.

    When this model continues to a certain stage, the government has completed most of the infrastructure construction, national housing and other rigid needs have weakened, the national industry has basically reached the level of primary developed countries, national tax revenue has increased in the long term, and the national balance of payments will gradually be balanced.

    Basically, if we follow this policy to promote the development of China's economy, in about the first two decades, the central finance and local government finances will almost certainly suffer losses. With the reduction of infrastructure projects and the increase of tax revenue, this loss will gradually turn into  profit.

    If we want to further reduce losses, there is no doubt that we must fight against corruption with all our strength, cut regular government expenditures, and reduce wasteful expenditures as much as possible.

    Yang Shaozong¡¯s answer isit is very difficult to take this path. If you are not determined to crack down on corruption and dismantle the state monopoly mechanism, then don¡¯t do it. On the contrary, if you don¡¯t do this, China¡¯s economy will be in a state of decline within thirty years.  It is almost impossible to surpass the United States.

    The gap is too big.

    Even if gd is close on the surface, if a storm hits, you will all be ruined, and it will not be much better than Thailand.

    In Yang Shaozong's own words, Thailand cannot go down this road. If the housing prices in big cities in China increase to 30,000 per square meter, and give him 100 billion US dollars, he can empty the RMB exchange rate and wait for the central bank to raise the lending rate. The lending rate  Once it goes up, the stock market will definitely collapse, the stock market will collapse, housing prices will collapse, and banks will collapse completely.

    China will end up with nothing like Thailand. It wants industry but no industry, and it wants money but no money.

    Thailand¡¯s path, in the final analysis, is one sentence - investment growth generated by loose monetary policy, not technological growth.

    Even if this kind of technological growth reaches a certain stage, it will still be meaningless once the United States starts to fight back. Therefore, if China wants to grow and surpass the United States, it must choose a category on the development path that the United States cannot attack.

    A basic goal of "low-inflation social operation and economic form" is to build a "harmonious, balanced, comprehensively developed socialist society". At the basic level, we must do a good job in the economic construction of rural economies and small towns, and achieve social wealth.  average growth and do not allow social wealth to expand dramatically.

    The key here is to allow the rural population to unite for development, continue to develop township and village enterprises, provide more preferential policies to jointly funded enterprises in rural townships, reduce taxes, and increase on-site employment for the rural population.

    A key to local employment is to get rid of heavy logistics costs first, otherwise, everything is empty talk.

    If it can be eliminated, the agricultural industry, agricultural product processing industry, and township small businesses can mutually benefit from each other and develop, and large enterprises can also invest in further regions instead of being concentrated in cities.  ro!  .  @ya
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