Ding Xu also knew that smoking was bad, so he once persuaded his father to quit smoking and asked him to do aerobics. ¡Ì¨NA smoker for a day but a smoker for life, my father eventually relapsed. At this moment, Ding Xu felt quite depressed. He stole a cigarette from his father and took a few puffs. Perhaps it was the sense of relaxation and pleasure brought by nicotine. Ding Xu suddenly felt relaxed and comforted himself in his heart: "I speculated from ten thousand yuan to hundreds of thousands, which is also dozens of times the profit. It is not too difficult. Do it again by one or two If I can double my debt several times, I will be able to achieve financial freedom. As long as I keep going and don¡¯t make big mistakes, I can still achieve financial freedom without the cooperation of the Tang family.¡± After figuring this link out, Ding Xu finally settled down and became confident again, so he opened the chat window of the Miracle Group. "A miracle, the market has risen by more than a hundred points in the past few days, and it has reached 2100 points. After rising for three days in a row, will there be a major adjustment?" Ding Xugang asked when YW Blue Chip Stocks asked. "Well, the market continues to rise, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index has reached around 2100 points again, and intraday shocks have become more frequent. From a technical point of view, the macd indicator does show that there is some oversold pressure, but there is no need to doubt the future market, even if Even if there is a short-term adjustment, it will not change the long-term upward trend." Ding Xu smiled, "We can do an analysis from the news and technical aspects." "Okay, let's talk about it." YW blue chip stock nodded. "In terms of news, after the introduction of the four trillion economic policy, a number of supporting policies are currently being intensively formulated, which is good for relevant sectors and the entire national economy. Such good expectations make the market stable and positive. From the perspective of funds Generally speaking, both management and banks are in a period of active lending in early February. Because the state has set the tone, the earlier funds are invested, the faster the effect will be on revitalizing the industry and boosting domestic demand, and the banks will benefit. The sooner. Therefore, the news is supportive of the market's rise. "From a technical point of view, the market index stocks such as Two Barrel Oil, ICBC, and Vanke A are still at the bottom. Continuous rise, but the increase of heavyweight stocks is not large, and the center of gravity is still very stable. As long as these large-cap heavyweight stocks do not rise sharply in the short term, there is no room for shipments. At the same time, the market and individual stocks will continue to be active in terms of volume and energy. As the market rises, the volume is also increasing moderately. Even if the market dives, the selling following the trend is not large, indicating that the buying orders are relatively strong and the profit-taking chips are well locked in. From this perspective, the market will further develop.¡± "Well, that's right. One of the important reasons why A-shares are booming in the Year of the Ox is that news is spreading frequently. In the past few days, major newspapers and periodicals have been reporting that Premier Wen, who used the Chinese New Year holiday to visit European countries, after getting up He never forgets to talk about the index situation of China's A-shares, which gives investors full confidence and great encouragement. The market is full of expectations for the Prime Minister to formulate more relevant and practical rescue policies after returning to China. ¡± Shulu Xingzhe also said. He said optimistically, ¡°Following the country¡¯s major revitalization plans for the real estate market, automobiles and other industries, economic recovery plans for many important industries related to the national economy and people¡¯s livelihood, such as petrochemicals, textiles, shipbuilding, steel, and electricity, are also being intensively formulated. In particular, foreign media reported that the central bank is likely to introduce policies to lower bank interest rates and reserve ratios again in February to provide more abundant social funds. These have brought new hope and new momentum to the stock market. " "Let me add something." Beifeng also said with a smile, "Sources revealed that the China Securities Regulatory Commission has officially approved the launch of securities financing business, and the first two companies are CITIC Securities and Haitong Securities Market. The upcoming launch of securities lending has been eagerly anticipated, causing related stocks in the market to surge. In addition, some media said that regulators are still stepping up efforts to improve the supporting work for the launch of GEM, "Initial Public Offering of Stocks and Listing on GEM." The "Listing Management Measures" have been finalized and submitted to the State Council recently. It is expected to be approved by the State Council and launched on the eve of the National People's Congress in early March. The first GEM listed company will most likely be listed in May. It is also an important reason why venture capital concept stocks have scored twice.¡± ¡°Beifeng, your interpretation of the GEM news is a bit optimistic. In fact, the launch of GEM is only good for venture capital concept stocks, but it is also good for the entire market. It's bearish." Ding Xu shook his head and said, "After all, the market has just started to rise, and it has only gone from 1664 points to 2100 points. The senior management is rushing to promote the GEM. I think it is a bit too hasty. After all, the launch of a new sector will attract a large number of new stocks, which must be based on sufficient funds. The market has just started to rise now, and there are not many funds entering the market, and it is starting to draw blood, so I think the market may be affected by this news and will adjust tomorrow. In addition, margin financing and securities lending are also double-edged swords. Financing is a long-term force, while securities lending is a short-selling force. The short-selling force of securities lending appears in the Chinese market. It is not yet known how big the impact will be. The marketI will also be worried. " "Well, the regulators pushed the GEM too fast. It would be better if it were pushed back to 2,500 points. If you are too anxious to eat hot tofu, you may burn your mouth in the end. "Shu Lu Xingzhe shook his head and sighed. Hearing Ding Xu's interpretation, everyone who was in optimism seemed to have been poured cold water on them, and they couldn't help but complain. "Complaining is useless, there is no need to influence own emotions. Ding Xu was still optimistic and said with a smile, "It is estimated that this adjustment will not be too big. After all, this is something that has been rumored for a long time. The market has expectations and tolerance. Besides, the GEM will not be issued until May at the earliest." It¡¯s still early for new shares. Moreover, it just gapped up yesterday and regained the half-year line. The trend is still very strong. The most is to step back on the gap of 2060-2067 points and step back on the half-year line. Don't worry. " February 5, Thursday, sunny. " Ding Xu interpreted several news in early trading. First, the Ministry of Finance issued an announcement on Wednesday that the Chinese government will launch this year's first treasury bond issuance on February 11, planning to issue RMB 24 billion 7 2-year treasury bonds. Second, after returning to China, Premier Wen presided over an executive meeting of the State Council on February 4 to review and adopt in principle the adjustment and revitalization plan for the textile industry and equipment manufacturing industry. Equity transaction disclosure shows that UBS reduced its holdings of approximately 2.6445 million H shares in China Merchants Bank in 2009. Fourth, statistics show that all restricted shares of 431 listed companies will be lifted in 2008. 6 times the number of listed companies in circulation. This means that 30% of the stocks in the two cities have entered the era of full circulation, including a number of heavyweights and industry leaders such as China Merchants Bank, China Unicom, and Daqin Railway. diversion effect. China Merchants Bank was once again reduced by UBS, and stocks that were lifted from the ban increased sharply, which are both big negatives. Coupled with the news about the GEM, today's market will probably be adjusted. Pay attention to the gains and losses of the half-year line. "Ding Xu concluded. "Haha, finally when the revitalization plan for the textile industry was passed, I chased Shenzhen Textile at the opening price of 6.05 yuan yesterday. Because it hit the daily limit the day before yesterday, it opened higher and moved lower yesterday. Later, I was trapped by 3 points. I was super depressed! Fortunately, the good news came out today, and it can finally rise sharply, and it is estimated that it can reach the daily limit! "Contrary to everyone's worries, Jia said excitedly. "You bought Shen Textile? Just because of the benefits of this revitalization plan, are you not afraid of dying in public? "Ding Xu asked in surprise, then opened the K-line chart and took a look, and couldn't help but sigh. He said, "The revitalization plan of the textile industry. In fact, there were rumors as early as after the 4 trillion stimulus policy. The day before yesterday, Shenzhen Textiles had a sharp rise and was closed because of this rumor. However, it turned out that it was closed with a turnover rate of 13%. Yesterday it opened high and moved low again, fluctuating up and down, with a turnover rate as high as 15%. From this point of view, it is possible to die in the face of light today, open high and go low. " "You won't die in the light of day. "Jia suddenly became less confident. After thinking about it, he muttered, "If that's the case, then I'll sell it as soon as the market opens. " Jia suffered a lot of losses in the stock market in the past. Later, he followed Ding Xu in the long-term business. He has made back his losses and made several thousand yuan in profits. His principal increased from 70,000 yuan to more than 100,000 yuan. He finally turned around and became the master. But she couldn't bear the loneliness and always wanted to do short-term business to make quick money, so she kept holding on to Zhongbing Optoelectronics for the past two days. She was afraid that the profit would be lost, so she sold Zhongbing Optoelectronics and replaced it with Shenzhen Textile. Unexpectedly, Shenzhen Textile opened high and fell by more than three points yesterday, losing nearly 5,000 yuan of more than 100,000 yuan, which made her very distressed. After all, she was just an ordinary office worker, with only a monthly salary. More than 2,000 yuan, these 5,000 yuan can cover two months' salary, which naturally makes her feel distressed. She can only hope that today's rising market will stop the loss. However, after the market opened, Jia's wish suddenly came true. , Shenzhen Textile opened at 5.90 yuan, opening slightly lower, and then dived quickly, falling by more than two points, giving it no chance to rush higher and exit. After the strong market yesterday, the market opened relatively weak today, opening slightly lower. 2106 points, but then quickly opened lower and moved higher, once rising to 2149 points, a surge of nearly 2%, which cheered investors. However, Shenzhen Textile only followed the market's rise and fell by about 1 point at most. It continued to fluctuate at low levels. In the afternoon, the market suddenly plunged to a high level, and the Shanghai Stock Index fluctuated downwards, losing all its gains. Then it turned green and closed at 2098 points, falling below the 2100-point mark. As for Shenzhen Textile, it was even weaker. There was no red market throughout the day, and it even fell for a time, closing at 5.71 yuan, down 3.58%. ¡°My dear, I really died! I cut off the tail disk and replaced it with Zhongbing Optoelectronics. It's still safe to follow you. I just did the math and found that I was defrauded by more than seven points, which was more than 10,000 yuan, which was almost equal to half a year's salary. Now I went from profit to loss again. Is it easy for me to go to work? I get up at six o'clock every day to catch the bus, and it takes me an hour to get to work.?I was so tired that I fell apart when I got home, and my whole body was covered in smelly sweat. As a result, I lost half a year's salary because of my cheap hands and random manipulation of stocks. Half a year of class has been in vain, I really want to die! Jia couldn't help crying and said in the group, "Some time ago, stock trading was very successful and I made tens of thousands of yuan. I almost wanted to resign and stop working because it was much easier to make money by stock trading than working." But this blow today made me want to jump off the building. " "Oh, you just lost 10,000 yuan in profit and you want to jump off the building? Ding Xu shook his head and said, "Jia, your mental endurance is so bad, what is this loss?" Anyway, it's what you earned. If you lose, just pretend you didn't earn it. " "This is called, when it goes up, I want to resign, and when it goes down, I want to die. "Qi Fei came up with a pithy summary. "Yeah. Don't be so vulnerable. The stock market has risks. Investment needs to be cautious. Since it is a risky market, you must improve your risk tolerance. The first is to use spare money to speculate in stocks, and the second is to be mentally prepared. Jia, the market will never lack opportunities to make money. As long as you have capital, there is hope. If you continue to do Zhongbing Optoelectronics with everyone, this choice should not be wrong. After all, Shenzhen Textile Co., Ltd. has just released its capacity and cannot be strong for the time being, while Zhongbing Optoelectronics has been doing aerial refueling for four days. Tomorrow is the fifth day, which is also the magic number cycle, and the main force may be able to exert force. If you can raise the daily limit, your 10,000 yuan should be earned back immediately. "Ding Xu also continued to encourage. "Really? Can it be raised? Can I get my money back? "Another glimmer of hope emerged in Jia's heart. "Well, really. Didn't Liu Huan sing like this in the song? If the heart is there, the dream is there, it¡¯s just a matter of starting over! "Ding Xu encouraged with a smile. Jia's originally gloomy complexion suddenly became better looking. ? ?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? The dividing line. Therefore, there are no updates in the first few days. It is expected that this will be the case in the future. It will not be updated from Monday to Friday, but will be updated on weekends. In this way, because there are many plots that are not available in time, the completion of this plan may have to be postponed. Let's go a little longer. The market has been very extreme recently, so I will make an exception and say a few personal thoughts at the end of the text. It does not constitute any investment advice. It is for your reference only. The Shanghai Stock Exchange Index has plummeted 30% in three weeks, and individual stocks have generally been cut in half. Some stocks have been cut in half. Even reaching a 60-70% decline, this may be regarded as an unprecedented stock market crash. Even the May 30 tragedy in 2007 was not as tragic as this one, and there was no such situation in the super bear market in 2008 when the index plummeted by 30% for three consecutive weeks. . This is not just a natural adjustment of the market, but there are also some more complicated factors, which I won¡¯t go into here. In short, the consequences of this stock market crash are beyond everyone¡¯s expectations, and many stock reviews seem to have no effect at all. No one dares to judge long or short, so they have to use universal words such as "remain cautious, control positions, stay on the sidelines, reduce the weight when the market is high, sell high and buy low" to interpret the market. In fact, it has now reached the intermediate level. Adjustment has become a bull-bear situation, and a financial war related to the future of the country. If the market collapses and turns bearish, without the support of the direct financing capacity of the capital market, the registration system may be stillborn, and A series of measures such as the reform of state-owned enterprises will be in trouble, so from the perspective of the country and the people, this battle can only be won, not lost! Judging from the current high-level response, there are many benefits to the rescue, some of which are used to solve the problem. Funding issues, such as issuing new regulations on financing and financing, confirming that real-name capital allocation is legal, expanding financing channels for securities firms, etc. Some are used to solve market confidence issues, such as correspondingly reducing the number of IPO issuers and the amount of funds raised, reducing market transaction costs, and cracking down on Illegal short selling, etc. Perhaps many people are very disappointed with the effect of the national bailout, because the decline of the index seems to be unstoppable, and individual stocks have fallen to the limit one after another. As a result, many retail investors have suffered heavy losses and are extremely desperate. They think that a bear market is coming. They left the market after a small rebound, and even cut their losses when they fell sharply. But I want to say that to see hope in despair, it is not the time to give up. The bull market is still there, and it has not been far away despite this stock market crash. It is more than ever before, and the previous experience of veteran investors is not enough. However, looking at the history of global stock markets, such a plunge is also very rare. The market fell by 30% in more than half a month, and individual stocks fell by 60%. Not even a decent one. There is no rebound. You know, even if a big bear market starts, it usually takes several months for the market and individual stocks to fall so much. But now, four or five days out of six days, thousands of stocks have dropped by the limit, or even more than two thousand stocks. The futures index fell to the limit multiple times without a decent rebound during the period. The chips were not fully changed hands, and the stock price fell without limit. This is not in line with the natural operating rules of the market, because even the main force cannot escape. In fact, there is no need to be too afraid of this extreme situation. It will definitely be counterattacked by the laws of market operation. The invisible hand of the market will correct it, and a retaliatory rebound will begin at any time. ??What's more, there are good things happening one after another, and the country has constantly expressed its determination and attitude to turn the tide. Although when the market is extremely panicked, these positive effects will be ignored and funds will feel numb, these positive effects are constantly superimposed and will naturally explode when they reach a critical point. Especially once the funding problem is resolved, once the market stabilizes, a rebound will come. As long as the index does not fall sharply. Even if there is a small yang or a small yin. The market will stabilize on its own. If the tragic situation of thousands of stocks falling to the limit will no longer occur, then the main force will produce and save itself. The recent activity of some leading stocks has already shown this. It is just because the market looks scary, so the rebound strength has been greatly hindered. As for stabilizing the index and stock index futures, the country should have many ways to solve it. After all, China is a big country. It is also relatively well-funded and has the ability to cope with this crisis. What¡¯s more important is that the market¡¯s short-term decline has reached its limit and can basically no longer fall. Just imagine if a stock fell by 60-70% in one breath, what else could it do? Do you have to drop 90% before you stop, and a ten-dollar stock becomes a one-dollar stock? Is this possible? Looking at the global stock market, in this extreme situation, as long as a country's political power is stable. When the economy is stable, the invisible hand of the market will naturally correct mistakes. This round of decline is ongoing. Many stocks were actually killed by mistake. Once the mistakes are corrected, there will be a strong rebound. Therefore, as long as the index stabilizes, individual stock prices will rise and fall one after another, creating a profit-making effect again and attracting those leaving the market to enter the market. Capital is inherently profit-seeking. As long as there is a profit-making effect, funds will come in again. The saying that the scars are healed and the pain is forgotten will still be reflected in a few months, and after the management recognizes the real-name capital allocation system and establishes hundreds of billions of funds to maintain financial stability, they may rush to approve new funds to enter the market, including Set up stabilization funds, etc., so you don¡¯t have to worry about running out of money. On the other hand, the slowdown in ipo has also eased the situation of blood drawing. Funds and stocks are nothing more than the relationship between water and fish. As long as there is water and the fish don't increase too quickly, the ecological balance can be maintained and the bull market can continue. I believe that the invisible hand of the market and the strategic adjustments of senior management will work together to adjust all this. As long as market confidence is reassured and restored, the bull market will continue. I still have the same two logics: first, if the registration system cannot be launched, the bull market will not die; second, the high point of each bull market will be higher than the previous bull market. From a short-term trend point of view, next week should be a time window for stabilization and rebound. To take a step back, even if the bear market really begins now, there will be a strong rebound. After falling by 1,500 points, there will generally be a rebound of about 700-700 points. The gap of 4456-4483 points on June 26 will be the test. This is a watershed moment for the effectiveness of this rebound. If it starts to rebound as scheduled next week, we must pay close attention to this position. Recovering the half-year line currently at 3944 points is the first target. ¡¡¡¡ Looking back on this adjustment, at noon on June 5, after the third high hanging neck line of the Shanghai Stock Index fluctuated sharply in a row, I notified all groups and urgently wrote "Five Thousand Points Cannot Release the Sky Volume Station" A single chapter of "Stay, Everyone Beware of Adjustments" was published in the book, which mentioned: "Maybe after 5,000 points, people will be paralyzed before falling again After the 6% drop on May 28, the official media It was rare that there was no comment. Only Xinhua News Agency said a few words to cheer up At this time, we need to be more cautious, control our positions, and leave room for maneuver. At this sensitive moment, we must first control our positions and ensure our principal. Safety is the most important thing.¡± (Recently, due to various considerations, most of the single-chapter analysis in the book has been deleted. I will try my best not to publish single chapters in the future. I will not analyze the market trend unless there are special circumstances. The reason has been mentioned before. , please forgive me.) During this adjustment process, I also reduced my position several times, controlled my position, and announced the operation in the group. But the intensity and frequency of this adjustment did exceed my expectations, and I entered the market early to hunt for the bottom. Fortunately, the adjustment in my stock was not too large, but I also suffered a lot of losses. As the saying goes, veterans die by chasing the bottom, while novices die by chasing the high. The lesson learned is that you have to wait until the market and individual stocks show real signs of stabilization. The success rate of buying the bottom is higher. At the same time, any extreme situation can happen in the stock market, and prices tend to rise. It has risen too much, and it has fallen too far. After oversold, there will be oversold again. Be cautious when picking up flying knives. But in any case, after falling below the half-year line, the weekly KDJ value is already negative 14, which is very extreme. Historically, once KDJ reaches a position of around -10, there will be a strong rebound. So I thought in the early trading yesterday (July 3) - "The market bottom of this wave should appear on July 3 (it was the policy bottom before). There may be extreme situations today, and the short sellers will finally go crazy. There will be a final drop, and it may even be close to the limit, falling to around 3500-3600 points." Finally, the market fell to 3629 points yesterday, and then reversed in a V-shape and once turned red. It's a pity that it was crazily suppressed by short sellers again in the afternoon. But I still insist on that. 3629 points is basically the bottom of this wave of adjustments. Jump three times in a row to count all the air, after three downward openings, there was another wave of crazy bottoming, and the short-selling momentum was fully vented. The flat allocation plate was basically flat, the short-selling momentum is gradually disappearing, and the funds for bargain hunting in the future are also increasing. Although the half-year line has been broken down, as long as the confidence in the bull market remains. The bull market will come back. It cannot be said that it has entered a bear market yet. We will continue to observe for another week. In particular, we need to observe whether the 60-day line turns downward. If it turns downward and forms a counter-pressure, the probability of a bear market is relatively high. Therefore, it is best to have a sharp rebound next week to reverse the flat and downward trend of the 60-day line. , it is best to regain the half-year line as soon as possible, and next week is the key time point. From the perspective of volume and energy, this round of decline has gone through two rounds of increasing and shrinking volumes. Currently, trading volume continues to shrink. In the first two days of this week, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index still had a trading volume of more than 900 billion. From Wednesday to Friday, they shrank to more than 8,000, 7,000, and 600 billion respectively, indicating that the momentum of the decline has shrunk again, which is also a characteristic of the bottom. In addition, on the 30-minute chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, both the green column and the yellow and white lines have bottom divergence at the same time, and the technical aspect also supports a rebound next week. Although technical indicators such as support and pressure levels often fail in panic declines, technical indicators are still a more important reference, because this is the basis for technicalists to sell high and buy low, which can trigger psychological resonance. In addition, even if the bear market is really coming, for those safe stocks that have not doubled in the previous bull market due to stagflation, this wave of adjustment has basically returned to the low point of last year's bear market. What is there to fear? What about? Their prices will also be fixed. Therefore, at the current position of more than 3,600 points, there is no need to panic too much. I still have hope that there will be another bright future. If the heart is there, the dream is there, it¡¯s just starting from scratch. If the stock is there, there is hope. At such a low position, don¡¯t hand over your bloody chips easily, otherwise you may buy it back at a higher price when it rebounds, and your mentality will be even worse. Especially those who have raised funds, because the margin may be a lot negative, and they will not be able to buy back so many shares after selling. In addition, when rebounding, if you do not have sufficient short-term skills, it is not recommended to exchange shares frequently. Try to cover up some losses, and then operate in the band when the daily or 30-minute indicators deteriorate again. Otherwise, it is easy to make mistakes in operation and increase losses. Although this stock market crash is a heavy blow to long-term investors, the theory that long-term is gold should still be adhered to. However, as I said before, subtraction must be done when the price exceeds 5,000 points and positions should be controlled. You can hold for the long term and do it for the short term, that is, you have a long-term holding plan, but in the short term, you can sell high and buy low to reduce the cost of holding positions and avoid major adjustments. At the same time, part of the profits and principal can be withdrawn at the appropriate time to ensure a better quality of life first. No matter whether the market is bullish or bearish, the market will never lack opportunities to make money. You must ensure the safety of your principal and ensure that you have the ability to fight at all times. In addition, I emphasize again that you should not borrow money to speculate in stocks or sell houses to speculate in stocks (such retail investors generally suffered a greater impact from this stock market crash, and the lessons are profound). Use all your spare money to speculate in stocks without losing all your money, which will not affect your life. You will have the ability to deal with risks. It¡¯s the weekend. I recommend you to watch a classic movie called ¡°Braveheart¡±. From it, you may find new courage. During this stock market crash, I was still very nervous and never suffered from insomnia, but last night I suddenly felt a little discouraged. After driving my daughter home, in the garage, I suddenly said, daughter, kiss me and give me some strength. My daughter, who hadn¡¯t kissed me in several years, seemed to understand my thoughts. She kissed me on the face and said softly, Dad, come on. At that moment, I felt that my whole body was filled with fighting spirit and strength again. I will continue to fight for my daughter¡¯s financial freedom, and for my readers to achieve financial freedom. Yes, although I have suffered great setbacks, I will continue to fight. Although I am just an ordinary retail investor, not an expert, and I often make mistakes, I still try my best to provide you with some ideas and experiences. "Give me a little strength", I remember this line from the ending of "Braveheart", so I recommend everyone to watch it to see how the male protagonist faced a powerful enemy and ultimately changed himself and the world. Keep a calm heart, like a mirror, see through all illusions, break through all obstacles, don't be intimidated by temporary difficulties and desperate situations, and wait for the day when things will light up. Happy weekend. ) (To be continued, please search Piaotian Literature, the novels will be better and updated faster!