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Part One: The Butcher's Son 510: Leaning on the Sword and Changing Songs with a Glass of Wine The northwest of floating clouds is China (11)

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    "Xiao Shen, what was the reason that led you to judge that the Soviet Union might disintegrate? You know, a few months ago, although there was chaos in the Soviet Union, if Gorbachev hadn't been fooled,  It turns out that the domestic situation in the Soviet Union may not be irreversible. I can say with absolute certainty that except for you, no one in the public opinion at home or abroad could have expected that the Soviet Union would collapse and disintegrate in such a sudden way. Can you give me some advice?  Can I tell you what the basis for your original judgment was?" Liu Dingbei frowned slightly and asked with a puzzled look on his face.

    Liu Dingbei asked the doubts in the hearts of many people present. On what basis did Shen Yangmei judge that the Soviet Union would disintegrate?  The turmoil in the Soviet Union's domestic situation affected the sensitive nerves of many people in China.  Although the Chinese people were not enlightened at this time, everyone understood that whether the Soviet Union was present or not, for China, both foreign and domestic policies would undergo qualitative changes.

    Especially the people here, most of them grew up during the honeymoon period between China and the Soviet Union. They were exposed to the greatness of the "Soviet Big Brother" at a very young age. The subsequent tension between China and the Soviet Union happened to erupt in their youth.  It can be said that the most important memories of their growth were more or less related to the Soviet Union, and they naturally felt both love and hate for the Soviet Union.  But whether they admit it or not, in their hearts the Soviet Union is always weighing on China like a big mountain.  With the same socialism and the same organizational system, China has actually been following the Soviet Union, hoping to replicate the success of the Soviet Union and recreate the glory of the Chinese nation.

    But at this time, the Soviet Union encountered major problems due to economic reforms, and then collapsed and ended in disintegration.  Although it happened, they still couldn't figure out why the powerful Soviet Union split without any warning. How much of this was due to internal factors and how much was influenced by external factors.  ?  Although since the disintegration of the Soviet Union, there have been many articles and remarks that analyze the reasons for the disintegration of the Soviet Union as "hindsight". However, it is difficult to convince people to trace the reasons from the results.  Naturally, everyone wanted to hear the analysis of Shen Yangmei, the only person who successfully predicted the split and disintegration of the Soviet Union.

    Shen Yangmei turned to look at Lin Zhitian. Lin Zhitian understood what he meant, nodded with a smile, and said, "Since your Uncle Liu is so interested, can you tell me about it? Maybe I can give you Uncle Liu some inspiration."  and suggestions.¡±

    "In this case, hiding one's ugliness is worse than showing one's weakness, so I will simply tell you what I think." Although he felt a little ashamed because he had taken the foreknowledge, he also understood whether he could leave Liu Dingbei a chance. I am deeply impressed by his performance today. Liu Dingbei, who is expected to aspire to the position of the Nine Elders in future generations, is not ashamed to ask, how many people there are.  Fortunately, before preparing that article, he had done enough homework to prepare for today's problem. He had some real information in his mind. At that moment, he organized the words in his mind and said slowly:  "The reason why the Soviet Union has come to this day is due to four reasons. The first is historical factors, the second is political factors, the third is economic factors, and the fourth is  National factors Of course, these are some of my personal analyses, and some of them are still based on my conjectures. After all, the disintegration of the Soviet Union was too short, and many relevant files and information have not been declassified. We outsiders have no understanding of it.  There are some secrets in the reform process of the Soviet Union, especially in the later period of the reform. When the social situation was so turbulent, why did the leaders of the Soviet government not take any effective measures, especially Gossip, just like Uncle Liu?  Mentioned, such frequent mistakes are not like a person who has been in charge of the Soviet Union for five or six years." Finally, Shen Yangmei turned the conversation back to Liu Dingbei.

    As Shen Yangmei's words fell, everyone present let out a long sigh of relief. Even at this time, there were many "in hindsight" articles and remarks in China discussing the reasons for the disintegration of the Soviet Union. But more than ten years later, about the Soviet Union  I don¡¯t know how many economists and political scientists have conducted in-depth analyzes on the causes of the Soviet Union¡¯s disintegration. How can those improvised analyzes be compared with the conclusions Shen Yangmei drew by integrating numerous later articles on the causes of the Soviet Union¡¯s disintegration?

    Shen Yangmei¡¯s in-depth and simple analysis made the people present unconsciously listen in rapt attention. After listening to Shen Yangmei¡¯s words, they subconsciously let out a sigh of relief.

    "Hearing your words is worth ten years of reading!" Liu Dingbei nodded and sighed, "Okay, very good, the younger generation is awesome. With an outstanding young man like you in the younger generation, our China's future is promising!" Liu Dingbei said  Bei said, clapped his palms gently, applauding Shen Yangmei's words.  The eyes of several other people were full of admiration, and they all echoed Liu Dingbei and clapped their hands.

    Facing the admiration of everyone, the two generations have become as thick-skinned asShen Yangmei, who was sitting on the wall, was also a little red-faced, but to be praised so highly by Liu Dingbei, Shen Yangmei also felt that the trip was worthwhile, but he still said hurriedly: "Several uncles, please stop praising me. I dared to  I published that article mostly out of ignorance and fearlessness. Later, I faced criticism from all directions, and even Uncle Lin was implicated in me. To this day, I still feel terrified. If I could do it all over again now  , I may not have that kind of courage again.¡±

    Shen Yangmei's words made Liu Dingbei and others laugh again. "Haha"

    "That's what the saying goes, whether you can come in peace or not," Zhao Xin answered with a smile, but then glanced at Liu Dingbei thoughtfully, then changed the topic and continued, "Xiao Shen, you are such a basin of cold water.  The splash is just right, so that people like Lao Liu can wake up. They clamor for reform all day long, seeming to regard reform as a panacea to strengthen the country and enrich the people. This time the disintegration of the Soviet Union has sounded the alarm for us, and we must lead  As a warning, remember not to rush for quick success, the reform plan needs to be implemented slowly!"

    Shen Yangmei had already heard from Zhao Xin's words just now that Zhao Xin belonged to the neutral faction of Lao Chengzhiguo. Perhaps he was a little more conservative. It was not surprising that he said this.

    Liu Dingbei turned to look at Zhao Xin and said with a wry smile: "Old Zhao, I won't argue with you today, but you don't have to ridicule me like this. Xiao Shen happens to be here today, so we might as well listen to Xiao Shen's words  Gao Jian, let¡¯s see what his attitude is towards reform in his heart.¡±

    "Haha" Zhao Xin was also happy after hearing Liu Dingbei's words, and said: "Is there any need to ask? Didn't Xiao Shen's article clearly express his opinions?"

    "I don't think so!" Liu Dingbei said, giving Shen Yang an eyebrow meaningfully, and continued, "Xiao Shen, since you think that the Soviet Union's economic reform will definitely end in failure, this path of the Soviet Union is destined to be  It won¡¯t work, and of course the facts have proven that this is the case. Then you might as well talk about how our country¡¯s next economic reform should avoid repeating the mistakes of the Soviet Union, and what should we do next.¡±

    "Uncle Liu, you think too highly of me. How dare I speculate on this kind of thing" Shen Yangmei waved his hands and said hurriedly.  Of course he understands what China's reform and opening up policies are, but those are all the wisdom from Chief No. 1. If he takes over Liu Dingbei's words rashly and says something he shouldn't say, no matter how bold he is  , I didn¡¯t dare to steal the leader¡¯s wisdom, so I was naturally too busy to refuse.

    "Oh! Xiao Shen, just say what you say. Even if you say it wrong, so what? Are there any outsiders present today? Feel free to say it boldly. I also want to hear your opinion!" Zhao Xin interrupted Shen Yangmei.  He smiled and encouraged.

    "Yes, Xiao Shen, I don't believe you don't have your own opinions. Why don't we talk about it? Uncle Liu still wants to ask you for advice." Liu Dingbei also said with a smile.

    "This" Shen Yangmei touched the end of his nose with some embarrassment. Fortunately, another article of his had been published a long time ago. He could only throw out the opinions of the other article first, "Actually, I think  Uncle Zhao misunderstood me. My first article had no intention of opposing reform. The focus of my work during this period in Qingshan Town has been to advocate economic reform, and I have achieved certain results."

    Zhao Xin was slightly stunned after hearing what Shen Yangmei said, but Liu Dingbei looked determined, as if he had already guessed that Shen Yangmei would say such words.

    "I have said before that the reasons for the disintegration of the Soviet Union were very complicated. Even my analysis cannot explain one or two of them. But it was definitely not caused by reform and opening up. In other words, reform and opening up just intensified the hidden secrets in the Soviet Union.  The underlying problems, in a certain sense, shortened the process of the coup in the Soviet Union. The ethnic conflicts in the Soviet Union itself, the greed of the Russian race among the elite groups, or their government cadres, and the businessmen who occupied the upper strata of the economic base all accounted for  There are a lot of factors, plus external factors, especially the temptation of a series of plans led by the US government"

    "The purpose of reform and opening up is to improve people's living standards. This is a move that our country must take now. Now the entire outside world, especially Western countries led by the United States, has entered into a new era with the process of economic globalization.  It is a stage of rapid economic development. If we cannot take the initiative to go out, integrate in, become a part of it, and catch up at this time, then one step behind will be one step behind, which may make the gap between the two parties wider and wider. To put it seriously,  The final result will be devastating, which we cannot bear. Therefore, at this time, we are too entangled in the path of capitalism or socialism. As long as the Chinese Communist Party is in power, I think the kind of problems we are all afraid of will not  appeared, and planned economy and market economy are not the essential difference between capitalism and socialism." Shen Yangmei could only try to avoid those sensitive people.The topic of ? will focus on the global economic integration of future generations and explain the necessity of reform and opening up from another level!
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